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AFC Wimbledon
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Bromley
Carlisle United
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Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
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Morecambe
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Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
AFC Wimbledon
League Two | Gameweek 22
Dec 26, 2024 at 3pm UK
Kingsmeadow
Swindon Town

AFC Wimbledon
1 - 1
Swindon

Tilley (56')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Smith (10')
Wright (88'), Delaney (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's League Two clash between AFC Wimbledon and Swindon Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Swindon 3-1 Grimsby Town
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in League Two

We said: AFC Wimbledon 1-0 Swindon Town

Given that this is a contest between the league's second-strongest home side and the joint-weakest away side, we believe Wimbledon are well-positioned for a straightforward victory. Adding to their determination is the need to bounce back swiftly from their recent defeat, providing them with extra motivation to secure all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 53.59%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Swindon Town had a probability of 22.38%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.42%), while for a Swindon Town win it was 0-1 (6.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.

Result
AFC WimbledonDrawSwindon Town
53.59% (0.081000000000003 0.08) 24.03% (0.052 0.05) 22.38% (-0.135 -0.13)
Both teams to score 51.91% (-0.328 -0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.83% (-0.35299999999999 -0.35)49.16% (0.351 0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.77% (-0.321 -0.32)71.23% (0.318 0.32)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.72% (-0.104 -0.1)18.27% (0.101 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.67% (-0.174 -0.17)49.33% (0.172 0.17)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.51% (-0.322 -0.32)36.48% (0.319 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.73% (-0.327 -0.33)73.27% (0.324 0.32)
Score Analysis
    AFC Wimbledon 53.59%
    Swindon Town 22.38%
    Draw 24.02%
AFC WimbledonDrawSwindon Town
1-0 @ 11.33% (0.13 0.13)
2-1 @ 9.71% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.63% (0.075000000000001 0.08)
3-1 @ 5.5% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-0 @ 5.46% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.77% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-1 @ 2.34% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.32% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.18% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 53.59%
1-1 @ 11.42% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.67% (0.095 0.09)
2-2 @ 4.9% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.02%
0-1 @ 6.72% (0.038 0.04)
1-2 @ 5.76% (-0.037 -0.04)
0-2 @ 3.39% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.94% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.65% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.14% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 22.38%

How you voted: AFC Wimbledon vs Swindon

AFC Wimbledon
72.7%
Draw
18.2%
Swindon Town
9.1%
11
Head to Head
Apr 13, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 44
Swindon
3-2
AFC Wimbledon
Drinan (51'), Devoy (71', 84')
Godwin-Malife (60'), Devoy (90+7')
Godwin-Malife (90+1')
Lewis (2', 87')
Dec 9, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 21
AFC Wimbledon
4-0
Swindon
Bugiel (6'), Little (59'), Al-Hamadi (79', 90+2')
Neufville (13'), Al-Hamadi (90+3')
Apr 22, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 44
AFC Wimbledon
1-5
Swindon
Pierre (8')
Jephcott (16' pen., 32'), Wakeling (18'), Clayton (61'), Darcy (90+2' pen.)
Dec 10, 2022 3pm
Apr 17, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 42
AFC Wimbledon
4-1
Swindon
Pigott (20' pen., 54'), Nightingale (26'), Assal (44')
McLoughlin (90+3')
Smith (79')
Grounds (20'), Lyden (26'), Pitman (45+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CDoncaster RoversDoncaster4624121073502384
4Walsall4621141175542177
5AFC Wimbledon4620131356352173
6Notts County4620121468491972
7Chesterfield4619131473541970
8Salford City4618151364541069
9Grimsby Town46208186167-668
10Colchester UnitedColchester461619115247567
11Bromley461715146459566
12Swindon TownSwindon461517147163862
13Crewe AlexandraCrewe461517144948162
14Fleetwood TownFleetwood461515166060060
15Cheltenham TownCheltenham461612186070-1060
16BarrowBarrow461514175250259
17Gillingham461416164146-558
18Harrogate TownHarrogate461411214361-1853
19MK Dons461410225266-1452
20Tranmere RoversTranmere461215194565-2051
21Accrington StanleyAccrington461214205369-1650
22Newport CountyNewport461310235276-2449
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle461012244471-2742
RMorecambe46106304072-3236


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