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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 52.23%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 25.83% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.36%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 1-2 (6.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.74%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AFC Wimbledon would win this match.
Result | ||
AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Swindon Town |
52.23% (![]() | 21.95% (![]() | 25.83% (![]() |
Both teams to score 63% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.66% (![]() | 36.35% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.53% (![]() | 58.48% (![]() |
AFC Wimbledon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.87% (![]() | 14.13% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.23% (![]() | 41.78% (![]() |
Swindon Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.37% (![]() | 26.64% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.13% (![]() | 61.87% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Swindon Town |
2-1 @ 9.53% (![]() 1-0 @ 7.36% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.21% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.22% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.7% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 4.11% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.04% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.3% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.01% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.19% ( ![]() Other @ 4.54% Total : 52.23% | 1-1 @ 9.74% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.31% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.76% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.81% ( ![]() Other @ 0.33% Total : 21.95% | 1-2 @ 6.44% (![]() 0-1 @ 4.98% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.29% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.84% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.78% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.45% 1-4 @ 0.94% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 0.92% ( ![]() Other @ 2.18% Total : 25.83% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 39 | 20 | 11 | 8 | 68 | 44 | 24 | 71 |
2 | Bradford CityBradford | 39 | 20 | 10 | 9 | 52 | 32 | 20 | 70 |
3 | Port Vale | 39 | 18 | 13 | 8 | 49 | 38 | 11 | 67 |
4 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 38 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 57 | 44 | 13 | 66 |
5 | AFC Wimbledon | 39 | 18 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 29 | 23 | 65 |
6 | Notts County | 39 | 18 | 11 | 10 | 58 | 39 | 19 | 65 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 39 | 19 | 5 | 15 | 54 | 55 | -1 | 62 |
8 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 39 | 14 | 16 | 9 | 47 | 39 | 8 | 58 |
9 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 39 | 14 | 16 | 9 | 45 | 39 | 6 | 58 |
10 | Salford City | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 47 | 43 | 4 | 56 |
11 | Chesterfield | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 59 | 44 | 15 | 55 |
12 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 39 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 53 | 48 | 5 | 53 |
13 | Bromley | 39 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 52 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 39 | 13 | 11 | 15 | 51 | 57 | -6 | 50 |
15 | Swindon TownSwindon | 39 | 11 | 15 | 13 | 55 | 56 | -1 | 48 |
16 | BarrowBarrow | 39 | 13 | 9 | 17 | 43 | 46 | -3 | 48 |
17 | MK Dons | 39 | 13 | 7 | 19 | 51 | 59 | -8 | 46 |
18 | Newport CountyNewport | 39 | 13 | 7 | 19 | 48 | 64 | -16 | 46 |
19 | Gillingham | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 44 |
20 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 39 | 10 | 12 | 17 | 45 | 55 | -10 | 42 |
21 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 39 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 30 | 49 | -19 | 42 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 39 | 9 | 13 | 17 | 30 | 55 | -25 | 40 |
23 | Morecambe | 39 | 9 | 6 | 24 | 34 | 57 | -23 | 33 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 39 | 7 | 10 | 22 | 30 | 59 | -29 | 31 |
> League Two Full Table |