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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Crewe Alexandra
League Two | Gameweek 40
Apr 1, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Alexandra Stadium
Grimsby Town

Crewe
2 - 0
Grimsby Town

Long (14'), Demetriou (90+3')
Demetriou (31'), Cooney (58'), Agius (87'), Lankester (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Luker (38'), McEachran (57'), Rodgers (62')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Crewe Alexandra and Grimsby Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Crewe 0-1 Port Vale
Saturday, March 29 at 12.30pm in League Two
Last Game: Colchester 1-2 Grimsby Town
Friday, March 28 at 7.45pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 37.41%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 36.18% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.24%) and 0-2 (6.41%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 (9.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result
Crewe AlexandraDrawGrimsby Town
36.18% (-1.698 -1.7) 26.41% (0.47 0.47) 37.41% (1.23 1.23)
Both teams to score 52.84% (-1.575 -1.58)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.06% (-2.005 -2.01)51.94% (2.009 2.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.31% (-1.763 -1.76)73.69% (1.767 1.77)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.33% (-1.914 -1.91)27.67% (1.917 1.92)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.78% (-2.53 -2.53)63.22% (2.534 2.53)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.05% (-0.23599999999999 -0.24)26.95% (0.24 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.71% (-0.311 -0.31)62.29% (0.313 0.31)
Score Analysis
    Crewe Alexandra 36.18%
    Grimsby Town 37.41%
    Draw 26.41%
Crewe AlexandraDrawGrimsby Town
1-0 @ 9.58% (0.249 0.25)
2-1 @ 8.07% (-0.286 -0.29)
2-0 @ 6.16% (-0.175 -0.18)
3-1 @ 3.46% (-0.323 -0.32)
3-0 @ 2.64% (-0.226 -0.23)
3-2 @ 2.27% (-0.228 -0.23)
4-1 @ 1.11% (-0.171 -0.17)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 36.18%
1-1 @ 12.56% (0.25 0.25)
0-0 @ 7.46% (0.578 0.58)
2-2 @ 5.29% (-0.224 -0.22)
3-3 @ 0.99% (-0.107 -0.11)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.41%
0-1 @ 9.78% (0.696 0.7)
1-2 @ 8.24% (0.105 0.1)
0-2 @ 6.41% (0.417 0.42)
1-3 @ 3.6% (0.022 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.8% (0.165 0.17)
2-3 @ 2.31% (-0.115 -0.12)
1-4 @ 1.18%
0-4 @ 0.92% (0.048 0.05)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 37.41%

Head to Head
Dec 14, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 20
Grimsby Town
0-2
Crewe

Thompson (47')
Lankester (56'), Tabiner (63')
Demetriou (62'), Connolly (71'), Williams (73')
Apr 13, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 44
Crewe
0-3
Grimsby Town

Cooney (34'), Williams (62')
Mullarkey (38'), Thompson (59'), Hume (89')
Mullarkey (45')
Dec 9, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 21
Grimsby Town
2-1
Crewe
Eisa (18'), Rose (45')
Mullarkey (33')
White (78')
White (79'), Rowe (85'), O'Riordan (90+1')
Apr 25, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Grimsby Town
2-0
Crewe
Holohan (13'), Orsi (82')
Feb 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 30
Crewe
0-3
Grimsby Town
McAtee (3'), Lloyd (31'), Dickson-Peters (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CDoncaster RoversDoncaster4624121073502384
4Walsall4621141175542177
5AFC Wimbledon4620131356352173
6Notts County4620121468491972
7Chesterfield4619131473541970
8Salford City4618151364541069
9Grimsby Town46208186167-668
10Colchester UnitedColchester461619115247567
11Bromley461715146459566
12Swindon TownSwindon461517147163862
13Crewe AlexandraCrewe461517144948162
14Fleetwood TownFleetwood461515166060060
15Cheltenham TownCheltenham461612186070-1060
16BarrowBarrow461514175250259
17Gillingham461416164146-558
18Harrogate TownHarrogate461411214361-1853
19MK Dons461410225266-1452
20Tranmere RoversTranmere461215194565-2051
21Accrington StanleyAccrington461214205369-1650
22Newport CountyNewport461310235276-2449
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle461012244471-2742
RMorecambe46106304072-3236


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