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Grimsby Town
League Two | Gameweek 26
Mar 11, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Blundell Park
Notts County

Grimsby Town
0 - 2
Notts County


Burns (71')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Jatta (56'), McGoldrick (88', 88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Grimsby Town and Notts County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Walsall 1-3 Grimsby Town
Saturday, March 8 at 12.30pm in League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 2-0 Notts County
Saturday, March 8 at 12.30pm in League Two

We said: Grimsby Town 1-2 Notts County

Despite just three points separating these two teams, they are on contrasting runs of form. With that in mind, we are backing the visitors to battle their way to an important victory at Blundell Park, potentially through a fast start to the contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 41.55%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 32.43% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Notts County win was 0-1 (8.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.

Result
Grimsby TownDrawNotts County
41.55% (-0.153 -0.15) 26.02% (0.053000000000001 0.05) 32.43% (0.103 0.1)
Both teams to score 53.42% (-0.13500000000001 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.11% (-0.19 -0.19)50.89% (0.192 0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.24% (-0.167 -0.17)72.76% (0.17 0.17)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.76% (-0.161 -0.16)24.24% (0.164 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.41% (-0.22900000000001 -0.23)58.59% (0.233 0.23)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.5% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)29.49% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.49% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)65.51% (0.037000000000006 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Grimsby Town 41.55%
    Notts County 32.43%
    Draw 26.02%
Grimsby TownDrawNotts County
1-0 @ 10.13% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.77% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7.18% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.14% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
3-0 @ 3.39% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.53% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.47% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.2% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 41.55%
1-1 @ 12.37% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 7.15% (0.055 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.35% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.03% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.02%
0-1 @ 8.73% (0.061 0.06)
1-2 @ 7.55% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.33% (0.033 0.03)
1-3 @ 3.07% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.18% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.17% (0.011 0.01)
1-4 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 32.43%

How you voted: Grimsby Town vs Notts County

Grimsby Town
53.6%
Draw
14.3%
Notts County
32.1%
28
Head to Head
Aug 22, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 3
Notts County
4-1
Grimsby Town
Jatta (6'), Crowley (15', 57'), Jones (45+1')
Bedeau (29'), Jatta (65')
Rodgers (45+4')
Green (67')
Jan 13, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 28
Grimsby Town
5-5
Notts County
Rose (7' pen.), Eisa (15', 62'), Clifton (52'), Wood (90+5')
Clifton (87')
McGoldrick (39', 90+2'), Langstaff (45'), Nemane (60', 79')
Baldwin (23'), Robertson (45+4'), Jones (84')
Aug 12, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 2
Notts County
3-2
Grimsby Town
Bostock (40'), Jones (50'), Crowley (61')
Palmer (8'), Nemane (45+4'), Stone (89'), Adebayo-Rowling (90+4')
Rose (17'), Clifton (45+7')
Glennon (24'), Rose (25'), Clifton (34'), Conteh (64')
May 23, 2022 7.45pm
Notts County
1-2
Grimsby Town
Rodrigues (73')
O'Brien (38'), Brunt (100')
Holohan (90+6'), Dieseruvwe (119')
Clifton (43'), Taylor (70'), Waterfall (85')
Feb 5, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 28
Notts County
1-2
Grimsby Town
Roberts (15')
Rodrigues (30'), Brunt (32'), Taylor (79'), Cameron (84'), Lacey (90')
Taylor (76'), Waterfall (90')
Clifton (52')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale422113859401976
2Bradford CityBradford4221101158391973
3Walsall4220121072512172
4Doncaster RoversDoncaster4120111062471571
5AFC Wimbledon4219121155322369
6Notts County4219111262431968
7Grimsby Town42206165960-166
8Colchester UnitedColchester421617951401165
9Chesterfield4217111465501562
10Salford City411613125347661
11Crewe AlexandraCrewe421516114944561
12Swindon TownSwindon421415136661557
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood421414145756156
14Bromley421414145656056
15BarrowBarrow421510174947255
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham421411175463-953
17Gillingham421214163744-750
18Newport CountyNewport42138215170-1947
19MK Dons42137225166-1546
20Harrogate TownHarrogate421210203554-1946
21Tranmere RoversTranmere421014183961-2244
22Accrington StanleyAccrington421013194966-1743
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle42910233663-2737
24Morecambe42106263762-2536


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