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AFC Wimbledon
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Grimsby Town
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Morecambe
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Walsall
Grimsby Town
League Two | Gameweek 26
Mar 11, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Blundell Park
Notts County

Grimsby Town
0 - 2
Notts County


Burns (71')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Jatta (56'), McGoldrick (88', 88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Grimsby Town and Notts County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Walsall 1-3 Grimsby Town
Saturday, March 8 at 12.30pm in League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 2-0 Notts County
Saturday, March 8 at 12.30pm in League Two

We said: Grimsby Town 1-2 Notts County

Despite just three points separating these two teams, they are on contrasting runs of form. With that in mind, we are backing the visitors to battle their way to an important victory at Blundell Park, potentially through a fast start to the contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 41.55%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 32.43% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Notts County win was 0-1 (8.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.

Result
Grimsby TownDrawNotts County
41.55% (-0.153 -0.15) 26.02% (0.053000000000001 0.05) 32.43% (0.103 0.1)
Both teams to score 53.42% (-0.13500000000001 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.11% (-0.19 -0.19)50.89% (0.192 0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.24% (-0.167 -0.17)72.76% (0.17 0.17)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.76% (-0.161 -0.16)24.24% (0.164 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.41% (-0.22900000000001 -0.23)58.59% (0.233 0.23)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.5% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)29.49% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.49% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)65.51% (0.037000000000006 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Grimsby Town 41.55%
    Notts County 32.43%
    Draw 26.02%
Grimsby TownDrawNotts County
1-0 @ 10.13% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.77% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7.18% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.14% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
3-0 @ 3.39% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.53% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.47% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.2% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 41.55%
1-1 @ 12.37% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 7.15% (0.055 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.35% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.03% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.02%
0-1 @ 8.73% (0.061 0.06)
1-2 @ 7.55% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.33% (0.033 0.03)
1-3 @ 3.07% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.18% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.17% (0.011 0.01)
1-4 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 32.43%

How you voted: Grimsby Town vs Notts County

Grimsby Town
53.6%
Draw
14.3%
Notts County
32.1%
28
Head to Head
Aug 22, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 3
Notts County
4-1
Grimsby Town
Jatta (6'), Crowley (15', 57'), Jones (45+1')
Bedeau (29'), Jatta (65')
Rodgers (45+4')
Green (67')
Jan 13, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 28
Grimsby Town
5-5
Notts County
Rose (7' pen.), Eisa (15', 62'), Clifton (52'), Wood (90+5')
Clifton (87')
McGoldrick (39', 90+2'), Langstaff (45'), Nemane (60', 79')
Baldwin (23'), Robertson (45+4'), Jones (84')
Aug 12, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 2
Notts County
3-2
Grimsby Town
Bostock (40'), Jones (50'), Crowley (61')
Palmer (8'), Nemane (45+4'), Stone (89'), Adebayo-Rowling (90+4')
Rose (17'), Clifton (45+7')
Glennon (24'), Rose (25'), Clifton (34'), Conteh (64')
May 23, 2022 7.45pm
Notts County
1-2
Grimsby Town
Rodrigues (73')
O'Brien (38'), Brunt (100')
Holohan (90+6'), Dieseruvwe (119')
Clifton (43'), Taylor (70'), Waterfall (85')
Feb 5, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 28
Notts County
1-2
Grimsby Town
Roberts (15')
Rodrigues (30'), Brunt (32'), Taylor (79'), Cameron (84'), Lacey (90')
Taylor (76'), Waterfall (90')
Clifton (52')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CDoncaster RoversDoncaster4624121073502384
4Walsall4621141175542177
5AFC Wimbledon4620131356352173
6Notts County4620121468491972
7Chesterfield4619131473541970
8Salford City4618151364541069
9Grimsby Town46208186167-668
10Colchester UnitedColchester461619115247567
11Bromley461715146459566
12Swindon TownSwindon461517147163862
13Crewe AlexandraCrewe461517144948162
14Fleetwood TownFleetwood461515166060060
15Cheltenham TownCheltenham461612186070-1060
16BarrowBarrow461514175250259
17Gillingham461416164146-558
18Harrogate TownHarrogate461411214361-1853
19MK Dons461410225266-1452
20Tranmere RoversTranmere461215194565-2051
21Accrington StanleyAccrington461214205369-1650
22Newport CountyNewport461310235276-2449
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle461012244471-2742
RMorecambe46106304072-3236


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