MX23RW : Saturday, March 15 18:57:38| >> :300:86500:86500:
AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Port Vale
League Two | Gameweek 32
Feb 13, 2025 at 8pm UK
Vale Park
Notts County

Port Vale
1 - 0
Notts County

Curtis (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's League Two clash between Port Vale and Notts County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Swindon 3-3 Port Vale
Saturday, February 8 at 12.30pm in League Two
Last Game: Notts County 2-0 Morecambe
Saturday, February 8 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Port Vale 1-2 Notts County

It is difficult to see Port Vale creating many chances against Notts County considering the visitors have been exceptional defensively in recent weeks. The away side will feel confident that they can secure a positive result given the hosts have struggled for consistency at home, and they should come into Thursday's clash as favourites. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 38.81%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 36.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (6.19%). The likeliest Notts County win was 0-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Port Vale in this match.

Result
Port ValeDrawNotts County
38.81% (0.017000000000003 0.02) 25.18% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 36.01% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Both teams to score 57.07% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.48% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)46.52% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.2% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)68.8% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.3% (0.013999999999996 0.01)23.69% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.19% (0.019000000000005 0.02)57.81% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.79% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)25.21% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.05% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)59.95% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Port Vale 38.81%
    Notts County 36.01%
    Draw 25.17%
Port ValeDrawNotts County
1-0 @ 8.6%
2-1 @ 8.53% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-0 @ 6.19% (0.0029999999999992 0)
3-1 @ 4.1% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 2.97% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.82% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 1.47% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.07% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.02% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 38.81%
1-1 @ 11.85%
0-0 @ 5.97% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 5.88% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-3 @ 1.3% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.17%
0-1 @ 8.23% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-2 @ 8.17% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 5.67% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 3.75% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 2.7%
0-3 @ 2.61% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-4 @ 1.29% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 36.01%

How you voted: Port Vale vs Notts County

Port Vale
12.1%
Draw
36.4%
Notts County
51.5%
33
Head to Head
Oct 5, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 10
Notts County
0-1
Port Vale

Platt (11'), Robertson (22'), Gordon (67')
Tolaj (23')
Curtis (33'), Paton (54'), Cover (77'), Hall (77')
Mar 2, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 35
Notts County
0-0
Port Vale
Conlon (40'), Pope (62')
Nov 3, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 17
Port Vale
2-2
Notts County
Hannant (13'), Pope (89')
Hemmings (22'), Ward (87')
Tootle (30'), Boldewijn (84')
Jan 1, 2018 3pm
Notts County
1-0
Port Vale
Stead (86' pen.)
Duffy (31'), Hewitt (74')

Pope (56'), Davis (90')
Sep 2, 2017 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall37209867432469
2Bradford CityBradford37199948311766
3AFC Wimbledon371891049262363
4Doncaster RoversDoncaster371891054441063
5Notts County3717101056391761
6Port Vale361613747371061
7Colchester UnitedColchester371416745331258
8Crewe AlexandraCrewe37141584538757
9Grimsby Town37175155154-356
10Salford City371411124441353
11Bromley371313114845352
12Chesterfield361491358441451
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham371311135154-350
14Fleetwood TownFleetwood371213124946349
15Swindon TownSwindon371114125555047
16Newport CountyNewport37137174861-1346
17BarrowBarrow36128164043-344
18MK Dons36126184653-742
19Gillingham36119163139-842
20Accrington StanleyAccrington371010174555-1040
21Harrogate TownHarrogate37117192948-1940
22Tranmere RoversTranmere37812172855-2736
23Morecambe3786233356-2330
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle3669212653-2727


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!