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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Notts County
League Two | Gameweek 25
Jan 4, 2025 at 12.30pm UK
Meadow Lane Stadium
Swindon Town

Notts County
2 - 0
Swindon

McGoldrick (17', 36')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Kilkenny (29'), Delaney (58'), Clarke (82'), Wright (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Notts County and Swindon Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Notts County 1-2 Walsall
Wednesday, January 1 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Swindon 3-2 Colchester
Wednesday, January 1 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Notts County 2-2 Swindon Town

While Notts County and Swindon are at opposite ends of the table, the hosts have won just 50% of their 10 fixtures on home turf, while the visitors have notched one win from 13 road matches, albeit playing a league-high seven away draws. Despite the Magpies' tag as favourites, Saturday's encounter could see both sides share the spoils in a high-scoring draw in the East Midlands. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 51.27%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 26.13% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.05%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 1-2 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.

Result
Notts CountyDrawSwindon Town
51.27% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 22.6% (0.00099999999999767 0) 26.13% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 60.96% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.84% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)39.16% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.51% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)61.49% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.55%15.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.71%44.29%
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.09% (0.010999999999996 0.01)27.9% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.48% (0.014000000000003 0.01)63.52% (-0.012 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Notts County 51.27%
    Swindon Town 26.13%
    Draw 22.59%
Notts CountyDrawSwindon Town
2-1 @ 9.6% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 8.05% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 7.52% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 5.98%
3-0 @ 4.68% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 3.81% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.79%
4-0 @ 2.19% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.78%
5-1 @ 1.04%
Other @ 3.84%
Total : 51.27%
1-1 @ 10.27%
2-2 @ 6.13% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 4.31% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 1.62% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 22.59%
1-2 @ 6.56% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-1 @ 5.5%
0-2 @ 3.51% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 2.79% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 2.61% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.49% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.67%
Total : 26.13%

How you voted: Notts County vs Swindon

Notts County
57.1%
Draw
19.0%
Swindon Town
23.8%
21
Head to Head
Aug 31, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 4
Swindon
1-2
Notts County
Kilkenny (21')
McGoldrick (30', 80')
McGoldrick (69')
Mar 29, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 41
Swindon
2-1
Notts County
Drinan (19'), Glatzel (73')
Aguiar (23'), Kokolo (72'), Blake-Tracy (90+1')
Jatta (90+2')
Oct 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Notts County
3-1
Swindon
McGoldrick (10'), Langstaff (35' pen.), Crowley (37')
Bostock (12'), O'Brien (83'), Jones (90+1')
Shade (49')
Shade (56'), Hepburn-Murphy (72')
May 4, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 46
Swindon
3-1
Notts County
Woolery (69'), Robinson (74', 92')
Doughty (38')
Hemmings (52' pen.)
Oct 27, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 16
Notts County
1-2
Swindon
Hemmings (40')
Hewitt (43'), Milsom (55'), Stead (65')
Alzate (65'), Turley (80' og.)
McCourt (15'), Nelson (43'), Knoyle (90'), Adebayo (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CDoncaster RoversDoncaster4624121073502384
4Walsall4621141175542177
5AFC Wimbledon4620131356352173
6Notts County4620121468491972
7Chesterfield4619131473541970
8Salford City4618151364541069
9Grimsby Town46208186167-668
10Colchester UnitedColchester461619115247567
11Bromley461715146459566
12Swindon TownSwindon461517147163862
13Crewe AlexandraCrewe461517144948162
14Fleetwood TownFleetwood461515166060060
15Cheltenham TownCheltenham461612186070-1060
16BarrowBarrow461514175250259
17Gillingham461416164146-558
18Harrogate TownHarrogate461411214361-1853
19MK Dons461410225266-1452
20Tranmere RoversTranmere461215194565-2051
21Accrington StanleyAccrington461214205369-1650
22Newport CountyNewport461310235276-2449
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle461012244471-2742
RMorecambe46106304072-3236


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