

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 54.42%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 22.95% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.35%) and 2-0 (8.69%). The likeliest Notts County win was 1-2 (5.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Salford City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Salford City | Draw | Notts County |
| 54.42% ( | 22.63% ( | 22.95% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.17% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.47% ( | 42.53% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.07% ( | 64.93% ( |
| Salford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.43% ( | 15.56% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 55.48% ( | 44.52% ( |
| Notts County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.71% ( | 32.28% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31.21% ( | 68.78% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Salford City | Draw | Notts County |
| 2-1 @ 9.83% ( 1-0 @ 9.35% ( 2-0 @ 8.69% ( 3-1 @ 6.09% ( 3-0 @ 5.39% ( 3-2 @ 3.45% ( 4-1 @ 2.83% ( 4-0 @ 2.51% ( 4-2 @ 1.6% ( 5-1 @ 1.05% ( 5-0 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 2.69% Total : 54.42% | 1-1 @ 10.56% ( 2-2 @ 5.56% ( 0-0 @ 5.03% ( 3-3 @ 1.3% ( Other @ 0.19% Total : 22.63% | 1-2 @ 5.97% ( 0-1 @ 5.68% ( 0-2 @ 3.21% ( 1-3 @ 2.25% ( 2-3 @ 2.09% ( 0-3 @ 1.21% ( Other @ 2.52% Total : 22.95% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 46 | 24 | 12 | 10 | 73 | 50 | 23 | 84 |
| P | Port Vale | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 80 |
| P | Bradford CityBradford | 46 | 22 | 12 | 12 | 64 | 45 | 19 | 78 |
| 4 | Walsall | 46 | 21 | 14 | 11 | 75 | 54 | 21 | 77 |
| 5 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 20 | 13 | 13 | 56 | 35 | 21 | 73 |
| 6 | Notts County | 46 | 20 | 12 | 14 | 68 | 49 | 19 | 72 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 46 | 19 | 13 | 14 | 73 | 54 | 19 | 70 |
| 8 | Salford City | 46 | 18 | 15 | 13 | 64 | 54 | 10 | 69 |
| 9 | Grimsby Town | 46 | 20 | 8 | 18 | 61 | 67 | -6 | 68 |
| 10 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 46 | 16 | 19 | 11 | 52 | 47 | 5 | 67 |
| 11 | Bromley | 46 | 17 | 15 | 14 | 64 | 59 | 5 | 66 |
| 12 | Swindon TownSwindon | 46 | 15 | 17 | 14 | 71 | 63 | 8 | 62 |
| 13 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 46 | 15 | 17 | 14 | 49 | 48 | 1 | 62 |
| 14 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 46 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 60 | 60 | 0 | 60 |
| 15 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 46 | 16 | 12 | 18 | 60 | 70 | -10 | 60 |
| 16 | BarrowBarrow | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 52 | 50 | 2 | 59 |
| 17 | Gillingham | 46 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 58 |
| 18 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 43 | 61 | -18 | 53 |
| 19 | MK Dons | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 52 | 66 | -14 | 52 |
| 20 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 46 | 12 | 15 | 19 | 45 | 65 | -20 | 51 |
| 21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 46 | 12 | 14 | 20 | 53 | 69 | -16 | 50 |
| 22 | Newport CountyNewport | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 52 | 76 | -24 | 49 |
| R | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 46 | 10 | 12 | 24 | 44 | 71 | -27 | 42 |
| R | Morecambe | 46 | 10 | 6 | 30 | 40 | 72 | -32 | 36 |
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