

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 48.78%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 27.53% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Notts County win was 1-2 (6.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Barrow | Draw | Notts County | 
| 48.78% (  0.41) | 23.69% (  -0.15) | 27.53% (  -0.26) | 
| Both teams to score 58.39% (  0.3) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 56.88% (  0.48) | 43.12% (  -0.48) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 34.48% (  0.48) | 65.52% (  -0.47) | 
| Barrow Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 82.18% (  0.35) | 17.82% (  -0.34) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 51.44% (  0.59) | 48.56% (  -0.59) | 
| Notts County Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 71.05% (  0.06) | 28.94% (  -0.06) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.17% (  0.08) | 64.83% (  -0.08) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Barrow | Draw | Notts County | 
| 2-1 @ 9.51% (  0.03) 1-0 @ 8.9% (  -0.09) 2-0 @ 7.67% (  0.01) 3-1 @ 5.47% (  0.08) 3-0 @ 4.41% (  0.05) 3-2 @ 3.39% (  0.05) 4-1 @ 2.36% (  0.06) 4-0 @ 1.9% (  0.04) 4-2 @ 1.46% (  0.04) Other @ 3.7% Total : 48.78% | 1-1 @ 11.03% (  -0.09) 2-2 @ 5.9% (  0.03) 0-0 @ 5.16% (  -0.11) 3-3 @ 1.4% (  0.02) Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.69% | 1-2 @ 6.84% (  -0.04) 0-1 @ 6.4% (  -0.13) 0-2 @ 3.96% (  -0.07) 1-3 @ 2.83% (  -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.44% (  0.01) 0-3 @ 1.64% (  -0.03) Other @ 3.43% Total : 27.53% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 46 | 24 | 12 | 10 | 73 | 50 | 23 | 84 | 
| P | Port Vale | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 80 | 
| P | Bradford CityBradford | 46 | 22 | 12 | 12 | 64 | 45 | 19 | 78 | 
| 4 | Walsall | 46 | 21 | 14 | 11 | 75 | 54 | 21 | 77 | 
| 5 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 20 | 13 | 13 | 56 | 35 | 21 | 73 | 
| 6 | Notts County | 46 | 20 | 12 | 14 | 68 | 49 | 19 | 72 | 
| 7 | Chesterfield | 46 | 19 | 13 | 14 | 73 | 54 | 19 | 70 | 
| 8 | Salford City | 46 | 18 | 15 | 13 | 64 | 54 | 10 | 69 | 
| 9 | Grimsby Town | 46 | 20 | 8 | 18 | 61 | 67 | -6 | 68 | 
| 10 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 46 | 16 | 19 | 11 | 52 | 47 | 5 | 67 | 
| 11 | Bromley | 46 | 17 | 15 | 14 | 64 | 59 | 5 | 66 | 
| 12 | Swindon TownSwindon | 46 | 15 | 17 | 14 | 71 | 63 | 8 | 62 | 
| 13 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 46 | 15 | 17 | 14 | 49 | 48 | 1 | 62 | 
| 14 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 46 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 60 | 60 | 0 | 60 | 
| 15 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 46 | 16 | 12 | 18 | 60 | 70 | -10 | 60 | 
| 16 | BarrowBarrow | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 52 | 50 | 2 | 59 | 
| 17 | Gillingham | 46 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 58 | 
| 18 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 43 | 61 | -18 | 53 | 
| 19 | MK Dons | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 52 | 66 | -14 | 52 | 
| 20 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 46 | 12 | 15 | 19 | 45 | 65 | -20 | 51 | 
| 21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 46 | 12 | 14 | 20 | 53 | 69 | -16 | 50 | 
| 22 | Newport CountyNewport | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 52 | 76 | -24 | 49 | 
| R | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 46 | 10 | 12 | 24 | 44 | 71 | -27 | 42 | 
| R | Morecambe | 46 | 10 | 6 | 30 | 40 | 72 | -32 | 36 | 
| > League Two Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
