

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 48.9%. A win for Barrow had a probability of 28.98% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.63%) and 2-0 (6.38%). The likeliest Barrow win was 1-2 (6.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Notts County | Draw | Barrow | 
| 48.9% (  -0.16) | 22.12% (  0.06) | 28.98% (  0.09) | 
| Both teams to score 65.24% (  -0.16) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 65.4% (  -0.24) | 34.6% (  0.24) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 43.46% (  -0.27) | 56.54% (  0.27) | 
| Notts County Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 85.4% (  -0.14) | 14.59% (  0.14) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 57.32% (  -0.27) | 42.68% (  0.27) | 
| Barrow Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 76.39% (  -0.06) | 23.61% (  0.06) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.31% (  -0.09) | 57.69% (  0.09) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Notts County | Draw | Barrow | 
| 2-1 @ 9.21% (  0) 1-0 @ 6.63% (  0.05) 2-0 @ 6.38% (  0.01) 3-1 @ 5.91% (  -0.03) 3-2 @ 4.27% (  -0.03) 3-0 @ 4.09% (  -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.84% (  -0.03) 4-2 @ 2.05% (  -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.97% (  -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.09% (  -0.02) 4-3 @ 0.99% (  -0.01) Other @ 3.46% Total : 48.9% | 1-1 @ 9.57% (  0.05) 2-2 @ 6.65% (  -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.45% (  0.04) 3-3 @ 2.05% (  -0.02) Other @ 0.4% Total : 22.12% | 1-2 @ 6.91% (  0.02) 0-1 @ 4.97% (  0.05) 0-2 @ 3.59% (  0.03) 1-3 @ 3.32% (  0.01) 2-3 @ 3.2% (  -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.73% (  0.01) 1-4 @ 1.2% 2-4 @ 1.15% (  -0.01) Other @ 2.9% Total : 28.98% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Walsall | 35 | 20 | 8 | 7 | 64 | 38 | 26 | 68 | 
| 2 | Bradford CityBradford | 35 | 19 | 9 | 7 | 48 | 29 | 19 | 66 | 
| 3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 35 | 18 | 7 | 10 | 51 | 41 | 10 | 61 | 
| 4 | Notts County | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 53 | 35 | 18 | 58 | 
| 5 | AFC Wimbledon | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 44 | 23 | 21 | 57 | 
| 6 | Port Vale | 33 | 15 | 12 | 6 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 57 | 
| 7 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 35 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 43 | 36 | 7 | 55 | 
| 8 | Grimsby Town | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 48 | 50 | -2 | 53 | 
| 9 | Bromley | 35 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 45 | 41 | 4 | 51 | 
| 10 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 34 | 11 | 16 | 7 | 39 | 32 | 7 | 49 | 
| 11 | Salford City | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 42 | 36 | 6 | 49 | 
| 12 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 35 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 48 | 42 | 6 | 48 | 
| 13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 46 | 49 | -3 | 46 | 
| 14 | Swindon TownSwindon | 35 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 50 | 50 | 0 | 45 | 
| 15 | Newport CountyNewport | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 44 | 54 | -10 | 43 | 
| 16 | Chesterfield | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 42 | 
| 17 | BarrowBarrow | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 36 | 41 | -5 | 40 | 
| 18 | MK Dons | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 44 | 49 | -5 | 39 | 
| 19 | Gillingham | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 29 | 38 | -9 | 38 | 
| 20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 28 | 45 | -17 | 37 | 
| 21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 39 | 52 | -13 | 36 | 
| 22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 35 | 6 | 12 | 17 | 25 | 54 | -29 | 30 | 
| 23 | Morecambe | 35 | 8 | 5 | 22 | 30 | 52 | -22 | 29 | 
| 24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 34 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 25 | 50 | -25 | 27 | 
| > League Two Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
