

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 46.45%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 27.77% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (8.37%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Barrow | Draw | Accrington Stanley | 
| 46.45% (  0.02) | 25.78% (  -0.05) | 27.77% (  0.03) | 
| Both teams to score 51.77% (  0.18) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 48.09% (  0.22) | 51.9% (  -0.22) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 26.34% (  0.19) | 73.65% (  -0.19) | 
| Barrow Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 77.67% (  0.1) | 22.32% (  -0.1) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.2% (  0.15) | 55.8% (  -0.16) | 
| Accrington Stanley Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 66.65% (  0.14) | 33.35% (  -0.14) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.03% (  0.15) | 69.97% (  -0.15) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Barrow | Draw | Accrington Stanley | 
| 1-0 @ 11.16% (  -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.19% (  0.01) 2-0 @ 8.37% (  -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.59% (  0.02) 3-0 @ 4.18% (  0) 3-2 @ 2.52% (  0.02) 4-1 @ 1.72% (  0.01) 4-0 @ 1.57% (  0.01) 4-2 @ 0.95% (  0.01) Other @ 2.19% Total : 46.45% | 1-1 @ 12.26% (  -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.45% (  -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.05% (  0.03) 3-3 @ 0.92% (  0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.78% | 0-1 @ 8.18% (  -0.04) 1-2 @ 6.73% (  0.01) 0-2 @ 4.49% (  -0) 1-3 @ 2.46% (  0.01) 2-3 @ 1.85% (  0.02) 0-3 @ 1.64% (  0) Other @ 2.42% Total : 27.77% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Stockport CountyStockport | 46 | 27 | 11 | 8 | 96 | 48 | 48 | 92 | 
| P | Wrexham | 46 | 26 | 10 | 10 | 89 | 52 | 37 | 88 | 
| P | Mansfield TownMansfield | 46 | 24 | 14 | 8 | 90 | 47 | 43 | 86 | 
| 4 | MK Dons | 46 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 83 | 68 | 15 | 78 | 
| 5 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 46 | 21 | 8 | 17 | 73 | 68 | 5 | 71 | 
| 6 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 69 | 65 | 4 | 71 | 
| 7 | Crawley TownCrawley | 46 | 21 | 7 | 18 | 73 | 67 | 6 | 70 | 
| 8 | BarrowBarrow | 46 | 18 | 15 | 13 | 62 | 56 | 6 | 69 | 
| 9 | Bradford CityBradford | 46 | 19 | 12 | 15 | 61 | 59 | 2 | 69 | 
| 10 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 64 | 51 | 13 | 65 | 
| 11 | Walsall | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 69 | 73 | -4 | 65 | 
| 12 | Gillingham | 46 | 18 | 10 | 18 | 46 | 57 | -11 | 64 | 
| 13 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 60 | 69 | -9 | 63 | 
| 14 | Notts County | 46 | 18 | 7 | 21 | 89 | 86 | 3 | 61 | 
| 15 | Morecambe | 46 | 17 | 10 | 19 | 67 | 81 | -14 | 58 | 
| 16 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 46 | 17 | 6 | 23 | 67 | 70 | -3 | 57 | 
| 17 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 46 | 16 | 9 | 21 | 63 | 71 | -8 | 57 | 
| 18 | Newport CountyNewport | 46 | 16 | 7 | 23 | 62 | 76 | -14 | 55 | 
| 19 | Swindon TownSwindon | 46 | 14 | 12 | 20 | 77 | 83 | -6 | 54 | 
| 20 | Salford City | 46 | 13 | 12 | 21 | 66 | 82 | -16 | 51 | 
| 21 | Grimsby Town | 46 | 11 | 16 | 19 | 57 | 74 | -17 | 49 | 
| 22 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 46 | 11 | 12 | 23 | 59 | 80 | -21 | 45 | 
| R | Sutton UnitedSutton | 46 | 9 | 15 | 22 | 59 | 84 | -25 | 42 | 
| R | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 46 | 11 | 9 | 26 | 44 | 78 | -34 | 42 | 
| > League Two Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
