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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Chesterfield
League Two | Gameweek 11
Oct 12, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Technique Stadium
Notts County

Chesterfield
2 - 2
Notts County

Madden (6'), Grigg (74')
Metcalfe (64'), Banks (90'), Naylor (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Jatta (14'), McGoldrick (90+4')
Palmer (55'), Macarai (64'), Crowley (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Chesterfield and Notts County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chesterfield 2-2 Walsall
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Chesterfield 1-1 Notts County

Considering Chesterfield have drawn four of their six matches at home this season, it is difficult to see them losing on Saturday. However, the hosts are yet to keep a clean sheet at SMH Group Stadium, and Notts County will no doubt get chances of their own in front of goal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 50.49%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 26.9% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.8%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Notts County win was 1-2 (6.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
ChesterfieldDrawNotts County
50.49% (-0.691 -0.69) 22.6% (0.175 0.18) 26.9% (0.514 0.51)
Both teams to score 61.69% (-0.144 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.47% (-0.399 -0.4)38.52% (0.398 0.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.18% (-0.425 -0.42)60.82% (0.422 0.42)
Chesterfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.52% (-0.38200000000001 -0.38)15.48% (0.379 0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.64% (-0.714 -0.71)44.36% (0.713 0.71)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.99% (0.15700000000001 0.16)27.01% (-0.159 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.63% (0.209 0.21)62.36% (-0.21 -0.21)
Score Analysis
    Chesterfield 50.49%
    Notts County 26.9%
    Draw 22.6%
ChesterfieldDrawNotts County
2-1 @ 9.52% (-0.029000000000002 -0.03)
1-0 @ 7.8% (0.045 0.04)
2-0 @ 7.28% (-0.055000000000001 -0.06)
3-1 @ 5.92% (-0.097 -0.1)
3-0 @ 4.53% (-0.093999999999999 -0.09)
3-2 @ 3.88% (-0.046 -0.05)
4-1 @ 2.76% (-0.082 -0.08)
4-0 @ 2.11% (-0.073 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1.81% (-0.046 -0.05)
5-1 @ 1.03% (-0.045 -0.05)
Other @ 3.86%
Total : 50.49%
1-1 @ 10.21% (0.11 0.11)
2-2 @ 6.23% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.18% (0.078 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.69% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 22.6%
1-2 @ 6.68% (0.098 0.1)
0-1 @ 5.47% (0.127 0.13)
0-2 @ 3.58% (0.099 0.1)
1-3 @ 2.92% (0.056 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.72% (0.016 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.56% (0.05 0.05)
1-4 @ 0.95% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 26.9%

How you voted: Chesterfield vs Notts County

Chesterfield
47.2%
Draw
25.0%
Notts County
27.8%
36
Head to Head
May 13, 2023 3.30pm
Chesterfield
2-2
Notts County
(Aggregate 2-2 | Notts County win 4-3 on penalties)
Dallas (6' pen.), Dobra (93')
Oldaker (57'), King (102'), Grimes (114')
Bostock (88'), Rodrigues (108')
Bostock (38'), Jones (96'), Mair (123')
Feb 11, 2023 5.20pm
Aug 20, 2022 5.20pm
Gameweek 4
Notts County
2-2
Chesterfield
Langstaff (60', 63')
O'Brien (37'), Rodrigues (64')
Mandeville (16'), Asante (55')
King (81'), (90+6')
Mar 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 37
Notts County
1-1
Chesterfield
Wootton (45+2' pen.)
Vincent (39'), Kelly-Evans (64'), Rawlinson (84')
Whittle (13')
King (55'), Weston (58'), Quigley (84')
Mar 1, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Chesterfield
3-1
Notts County
Maguire (60', 86'), Asante (90' pen.)
Whittle (7'), Kellerman (41'), Khan (89'), Miller (90+4')
Sam (40')
Cameron (62')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall37209867432469
2Bradford CityBradford37199948311766
3AFC Wimbledon371891049262363
4Doncaster RoversDoncaster371891054441063
5Notts County3717101056391761
6Port Vale361613747371061
7Colchester UnitedColchester371416745331258
8Crewe AlexandraCrewe37141584538757
9Grimsby Town37175155154-356
10Salford City371411124441353
11Bromley371313114845352
12Chesterfield361491358441451
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham371311135154-350
14Fleetwood TownFleetwood371213124946349
15Swindon TownSwindon371114125555047
16Newport CountyNewport37137174861-1346
17BarrowBarrow36128164043-344
18MK Dons36126184653-742
19Gillingham36119163139-842
20Accrington StanleyAccrington371010174555-1040
21Harrogate TownHarrogate37117192948-1940
22Tranmere RoversTranmere37812172855-2736
23Morecambe3786233356-2330
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle3669212653-2727


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