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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Chesterfield
League Two | Gameweek 11
Oct 12, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Technique Stadium
Notts County

Chesterfield
2 - 2
Notts County

Madden (6'), Grigg (74')
Metcalfe (64'), Banks (90'), Naylor (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Jatta (14'), McGoldrick (90+4')
Palmer (55'), Macarai (64'), Crowley (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Chesterfield and Notts County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chesterfield 2-2 Walsall
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Chesterfield 1-1 Notts County

Considering Chesterfield have drawn four of their six matches at home this season, it is difficult to see them losing on Saturday. However, the hosts are yet to keep a clean sheet at SMH Group Stadium, and Notts County will no doubt get chances of their own in front of goal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 50.49%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 26.9% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.8%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Notts County win was 1-2 (6.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
ChesterfieldDrawNotts County
50.49% (-0.691 -0.69) 22.6% (0.175 0.18) 26.9% (0.514 0.51)
Both teams to score 61.69% (-0.144 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.47% (-0.399 -0.4)38.52% (0.398 0.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.18% (-0.425 -0.42)60.82% (0.422 0.42)
Chesterfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.52% (-0.38200000000001 -0.38)15.48% (0.379 0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.64% (-0.714 -0.71)44.36% (0.713 0.71)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.99% (0.15700000000001 0.16)27.01% (-0.159 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.63% (0.209 0.21)62.36% (-0.21 -0.21)
Score Analysis
    Chesterfield 50.49%
    Notts County 26.9%
    Draw 22.6%
ChesterfieldDrawNotts County
2-1 @ 9.52% (-0.029000000000002 -0.03)
1-0 @ 7.8% (0.045 0.04)
2-0 @ 7.28% (-0.055000000000001 -0.06)
3-1 @ 5.92% (-0.097 -0.1)
3-0 @ 4.53% (-0.093999999999999 -0.09)
3-2 @ 3.88% (-0.046 -0.05)
4-1 @ 2.76% (-0.082 -0.08)
4-0 @ 2.11% (-0.073 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1.81% (-0.046 -0.05)
5-1 @ 1.03% (-0.045 -0.05)
Other @ 3.86%
Total : 50.49%
1-1 @ 10.21% (0.11 0.11)
2-2 @ 6.23% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.18% (0.078 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.69% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 22.6%
1-2 @ 6.68% (0.098 0.1)
0-1 @ 5.47% (0.127 0.13)
0-2 @ 3.58% (0.099 0.1)
1-3 @ 2.92% (0.056 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.72% (0.016 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.56% (0.05 0.05)
1-4 @ 0.95% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 26.9%

How you voted: Chesterfield vs Notts County

Chesterfield
47.2%
Draw
25.0%
Notts County
27.8%
36
Head to Head
May 13, 2023 3.30pm
Chesterfield
2-2
Notts County
(Aggregate 2-2 | Notts County win 4-3 on penalties)
Dallas (6' pen.), Dobra (93')
Oldaker (57'), King (102'), Grimes (114')
Bostock (88'), Rodrigues (108')
Bostock (38'), Jones (96'), Mair (123')
Feb 11, 2023 5.20pm
Aug 20, 2022 5.20pm
Gameweek 4
Notts County
2-2
Chesterfield
Langstaff (60', 63')
O'Brien (37'), Rodrigues (64')
Mandeville (16'), Asante (55')
King (81'), (90+6')
Mar 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 37
Notts County
1-1
Chesterfield
Wootton (45+2' pen.)
Vincent (39'), Kelly-Evans (64'), Rawlinson (84')
Whittle (13')
King (55'), Weston (58'), Quigley (84')
Mar 1, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Chesterfield
3-1
Notts County
Maguire (60', 86'), Asante (90' pen.)
Whittle (7'), Kellerman (41'), Khan (89'), Miller (90+4')
Sam (40')
Cameron (62')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CDoncaster RoversDoncaster4624121073502384
4Walsall4621141175542177
5AFC Wimbledon4620131356352173
6Notts County4620121468491972
7Chesterfield4619131473541970
8Salford City4618151364541069
9Grimsby Town46208186167-668
10Colchester UnitedColchester461619115247567
11Bromley461715146459566
12Swindon TownSwindon461517147163862
13Crewe AlexandraCrewe461517144948162
14Fleetwood TownFleetwood461515166060060
15Cheltenham TownCheltenham461612186070-1060
16BarrowBarrow461514175250259
17Gillingham461416164146-558
18Harrogate TownHarrogate461411214361-1853
19MK Dons461410225266-1452
20Tranmere RoversTranmere461215194565-2051
21Accrington StanleyAccrington461214205369-1650
22Newport CountyNewport461310235276-2449
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle461012244471-2742
RMorecambe46106304072-3236


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