

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 57.1%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 20.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.44%) and 2-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.25%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 1-2 (5.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chesterfield | Draw | Cheltenham Town | 
| 57.1% (  0.02) | 21.95% | 20.95% (  -0.02) | 
| Both teams to score 56.66% (  -0.03) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 58.12% (  -0.02) | 41.88% (  0.03) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 35.71% (  -0.02) | 64.29% (  0.03) | 
| Chesterfield Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 85.54% (  0) | 14.46% (  0) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 57.57% | 42.43% (  0.01) | 
| Cheltenham Town Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 66.25% (  -0.03) | 33.75% (  0.04) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29.59% (  -0.04) | 70.41% (  0.04) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Chesterfield | Draw | Cheltenham Town | 
| 2-1 @ 9.91% 1-0 @ 9.44% (  0.01) 2-0 @ 9.13% (  0.01) 3-1 @ 6.39% 3-0 @ 5.88% (  0.01) 3-2 @ 3.47% (  -0) 4-1 @ 3.09% 4-0 @ 2.84% (  0) 4-2 @ 1.68% (  -0) 5-1 @ 1.19% 5-0 @ 1.1% (  0) Other @ 2.98% Total : 57.1% | 1-1 @ 10.25% 2-2 @ 5.38% (  -0) 0-0 @ 4.88% (  0.01) 3-3 @ 1.26% (  -0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 21.95% | 1-2 @ 5.57% (  -0) 0-1 @ 5.3% (  0) 0-2 @ 2.88% (  -0) 1-3 @ 2.02% (  -0) 2-3 @ 1.95% (  -0) 0-3 @ 1.04% (  -0) Other @ 2.19% Total : 20.95% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 46 | 24 | 12 | 10 | 73 | 50 | 23 | 84 | 
| P | Port Vale | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 80 | 
| P | Bradford CityBradford | 46 | 22 | 12 | 12 | 64 | 45 | 19 | 78 | 
| 4 | Walsall | 46 | 21 | 14 | 11 | 75 | 54 | 21 | 77 | 
| 5 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 20 | 13 | 13 | 56 | 35 | 21 | 73 | 
| 6 | Notts County | 46 | 20 | 12 | 14 | 68 | 49 | 19 | 72 | 
| 7 | Chesterfield | 46 | 19 | 13 | 14 | 73 | 54 | 19 | 70 | 
| 8 | Salford City | 46 | 18 | 15 | 13 | 64 | 54 | 10 | 69 | 
| 9 | Grimsby Town | 46 | 20 | 8 | 18 | 61 | 67 | -6 | 68 | 
| 10 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 46 | 16 | 19 | 11 | 52 | 47 | 5 | 67 | 
| 11 | Bromley | 46 | 17 | 15 | 14 | 64 | 59 | 5 | 66 | 
| 12 | Swindon TownSwindon | 46 | 15 | 17 | 14 | 71 | 63 | 8 | 62 | 
| 13 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 46 | 15 | 17 | 14 | 49 | 48 | 1 | 62 | 
| 14 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 46 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 60 | 60 | 0 | 60 | 
| 15 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 46 | 16 | 12 | 18 | 60 | 70 | -10 | 60 | 
| 16 | BarrowBarrow | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 52 | 50 | 2 | 59 | 
| 17 | Gillingham | 46 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 58 | 
| 18 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 43 | 61 | -18 | 53 | 
| 19 | MK Dons | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 52 | 66 | -14 | 52 | 
| 20 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 46 | 12 | 15 | 19 | 45 | 65 | -20 | 51 | 
| 21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 46 | 12 | 14 | 20 | 53 | 69 | -16 | 50 | 
| 22 | Newport CountyNewport | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 52 | 76 | -24 | 49 | 
| R | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 46 | 10 | 12 | 24 | 44 | 71 | -27 | 42 | 
| R | Morecambe | 46 | 10 | 6 | 30 | 40 | 72 | -32 | 36 | 
| > League Two Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
