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FA Cup

Peterborough United
FA Cup | Second Round
Nov 30, 2024 at 3pm UK
Weston Homes Stadium
Notts County

Peterborough
4 - 3
Notts County

Jade-Jones (10', 73'), Randall (77'), Odoh (87')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Scott (13'), Platt (16'), Abbott (90+6')
Austin (80'), Abbott (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Peterborough United and Notts County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Peterborough United

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Peterborough 1-2 Reading
Saturday, November 23 at 3pm in League One

Notts County

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Notts County 0-0 Newport
Saturday, November 23 at 12.30pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 56.41%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 24.01% and a draw had a probability of 19.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.89%) and 2-0 (5.94%). The likeliest Notts County win was 1-2 (5.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.59%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.

Result
Peterborough UnitedDrawNotts County
56.41% (0.11199999999999 0.11)19.58% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)24.01% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Both teams to score 69.99% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
73.52% (0.028999999999996 0.03)26.48% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
53.17% (0.038000000000004 0.04)46.83% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.31% (0.034999999999997 0.03)9.69% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.69% (0.085000000000008 0.09)32.31% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.5% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)22.5% (0.041999999999998 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.94% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)56.06% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Peterborough United 56.41%
    Notts County 24.01%
    Draw 19.58%
Peterborough UnitedDrawNotts County
2-1 @ 8.86% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 6.89% (0.012 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.94% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 5.14% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-0 @ 5.09% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 4.62% (0.014 0.01)
4-1 @ 4.02% (0.013 0.01)
4-2 @ 3% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.7% (0.013 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.88% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-3 @ 1.49% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-2 @ 1.4% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-0 @ 1.26% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 4.13%
Total : 56.41%
1-1 @ 7.59% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.61% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 2.56% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 2.18% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 19.58%
1-2 @ 5.66% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.29% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-1 @ 3.25% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.82% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.43% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.23% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.21% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.05% (-0.006 -0.01)
3-4 @ 0.95% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 24.01%

How you voted: Peterborough vs Notts County

Peterborough United
84.2%
Notts County
15.8%
19
Head to Head
Aug 3, 2024 3.30pm
Club Friendlies 3
Peterborough
1-0
Notts County
Conn (66')
Aug 3, 2024 1.30pm
Club Friendlies 3
Peterborough
4-3
Notts County
Dec 20, 2016 7.45pm
Second Round
Peterborough
2-0
Notts County
Edwards (3'), Taylor (7')
Dec 4, 2016 2pm
Second Round
Notts County
2-2
Peterborough
Campbell (42'), Laing (90')
Da Silva Lopes (3'), Edwards (15')
Anthony Angol (45')
Jan 24, 2015 3pm
Notts County
1-2
Peterborough
Thompson (41')
Smith (24'), Carroll (26')
Maddison (13'), Burgess (62')
Brisley (33'), Burgess (75'), Smith (89')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
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6Aston Villa38199105851766
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8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton38161396659761
9Bournemouth3815111258461256
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13Everton381115124244-248
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham381110174662-1643
15Manchester UnitedMan Utd38119184454-1042
16Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38126205469-1542
17Tottenham HotspurSpurs38115226465-138
RLeicester CityLeicester3867253380-4725
RIpswich TownIpswich38410243682-4622
RSouthampton3826302686-6012
> Premier League Full Table


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