Notts County5 - 1Alfreton
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in League Two
for
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in National League North
for
We said: Notts County 3-0 Alfreton Town
With Alfreton boasting a strong defensive record in the sixth tier, there is a chance that Notts County will not have it their own way. Nevertheless, it would come as a surprise if the home side did not run away this one, leading us to predict a comprehensive victory. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 58.76%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 19.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.18%), while for an Alfreton Town win it was 1-2 (5.27%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Notts County | Draw | Alfreton Town |
58.76% ( -0.21) | 21.68% ( 0.1) | 19.56% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 55.29% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
