MX23RW : Monday, March 31 09:49:53| >> :120:47618:47618:
Alfreton Town
FA Cup | Second Round Qualifying Replays
Sep 17, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Impact Arena

Alfreton
1 - 1
Spalding

FT
(aet)
Alfreton win 4-3 on penalties
Coverage of the FA Cup Second Round Qualifying Replays clash between Alfreton Town and Spalding United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Spalding 0-0 Alfreton
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Spalding 0-0 Alfreton
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in FA Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 62.36%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Spalding United had a probability of 17.13%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 1-0 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.63%), while for a Spalding United win it was 1-2 (4.73%).

Result
Alfreton TownDrawSpalding United
62.36% (0.34699999999999 0.35) 20.51% (0.019000000000002 0.02) 17.13% (-0.364 -0.36)
Both teams to score 54.65% (-0.836 -0.84)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.77% (-0.733 -0.73)41.23% (0.736 0.74)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.37% (-0.75 -0.75)63.63% (0.752 0.75)
Alfreton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.33% (-0.125 -0.13)12.67% (0.127 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.16% (-0.262 -0.26)38.84% (0.264 0.26)
Spalding United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.57% (-0.866 -0.87)37.43% (0.868 0.87)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.79% (-0.861 -0.86)74.21% (0.864 0.86)
Score Analysis
    Alfreton Town 62.36%
    Spalding United 17.13%
    Draw 20.51%
Alfreton TownDrawSpalding United
2-0 @ 10.12% (0.238 0.24)
2-1 @ 9.95% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-0 @ 9.8% (0.277 0.28)
3-0 @ 6.97% (0.13 0.13)
3-1 @ 6.85% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-0 @ 3.6% (0.05 0.05)
4-1 @ 3.54% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.37% (-0.096 -0.1)
4-2 @ 1.74% (-0.058 -0.06)
5-0 @ 1.49% (0.014 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.46% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 62.36%
1-1 @ 9.63% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.89% (-0.115 -0.12)
0-0 @ 4.74% (0.157 0.16)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.058 -0.06)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 20.51%
1-2 @ 4.73% (-0.087999999999999 -0.09)
0-1 @ 4.66% (0.047 0.05)
0-2 @ 2.29% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.6% (-0.077 -0.08)
1-3 @ 1.55% (-0.066 -0.07)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 17.13%

Head to Head
Sep 14, 2024 3pm
Second Round Qualifying
Spalding
0-0
Alfreton
rhs 2.0
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