MX23RW : Saturday, March 22 07:53:39| >> :300:86500:86500:
Alfreton Town
National League North | Gameweek 12
Oct 19, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Impact Arena
Chorley

Alfreton
1 - 0
Chorley

Waldock (90')
Lund (45'), Cantrill (65'), Waldock (79')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Calveley (60')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Alfreton Town and Chorley.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chorley 1-0 Needham Market
Saturday, October 12 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 38.31%. A win for Chorley had a probability of 33.8% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.05%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Chorley win was 0-1 (10.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Alfreton Town in this match.

Result
Alfreton TownDrawChorley
38.31% (1.034 1.03) 27.89% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07) 33.8% (-0.968 -0.97)
Both teams to score 47.95% (0.081000000000003 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.02% (0.157 0.16)57.98% (-0.16 -0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.32% (0.123 0.12)78.68% (-0.126 -0.13)
Alfreton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.68% (0.69500000000001 0.7)29.32% (-0.698 -0.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.71% (0.846 0.85)65.29% (-0.849 -0.85)
Chorley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.84% (-0.559 -0.56)32.16% (0.557 0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.36% (-0.64 -0.64)68.64% (0.637 0.64)
Score Analysis
    Alfreton Town 38.31%
    Chorley 33.79%
    Draw 27.89%
Alfreton TownDrawChorley
1-0 @ 11.56% (0.15 0.15)
2-1 @ 8.05% (0.139 0.14)
2-0 @ 7.1% (0.228 0.23)
3-1 @ 3.29% (0.119 0.12)
3-0 @ 2.9% (0.148 0.15)
3-2 @ 1.87% (0.04 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.01% (0.055 0.06)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 38.31%
1-1 @ 13.12% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 9.43% (-0.057 -0.06)
2-2 @ 4.57% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 27.89%
0-1 @ 10.69% (-0.23 -0.23)
1-2 @ 7.44% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-2 @ 6.07% (-0.227 -0.23)
1-3 @ 2.82% (-0.093 -0.09)
0-3 @ 2.29% (-0.123 -0.12)
2-3 @ 1.73% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 33.79%

Head to Head
Jan 30, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 12
Chorley
3-2
Alfreton
Smith (34'), Hazlehurst (44'), Ubaezuonu (77')
Blakeman (18' og.), Perritt (48')
Jan 6, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 27
Alfreton
2-0
Chorley
Cantrill (35'), Waldock (58')
Jan 14, 2023 3pm
Aug 29, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 6
Alfreton
0-2
Chorley
Ustabasi (77'), Shenton (89')
Apr 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 37
Chorley
1-2
Alfreton
Blyth (27' pen.)
Ceesay (51'), Hobson (63')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe392112663273675
2Chester FCChester392110861372473
3Brackley Town382251160392171
4Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster382171066313570
5Curzon AshtonCurzon Ashton371981049282165
6Buxton392041565461964
7Chorley3818101059461364
8Hereford UnitedHereford391891253411263
9King's Lynn TownKing's Lynn39189124541463
10Spennymoor TownSpennymoor3715121060411957
11Darlington381512114642457
12Peterborough SportsP'boro Sports391511134944556
13South Shields39164195761-452
14Leamington FCLeamington38148164946350
15Scarborough AthleticScarborough Ath381310155650649
16SouthportSouthport391211163951-1247
17Marine AFC39138183649-1347
18Alfreton TownAlfreton381210164653-746
19RadcliffeRadcliffe381110174962-1343
20Oxford CityOxford City37912164466-2239
21Needham Market3999213861-2336
22Warrington Town38612203155-2430
23Rushall Olympic3986253483-4930
24Farsley CelticFarsley Celtic3875263085-5526


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