FA Cup

FA Cup | First Round

Nov 2, 2024 at 3pm UK

Rodney Parade

Newport
2 - 4
Peterborough

Glennon (5'), Whitmore (7')
Baker-Richardson (51'), Baker (56')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Odoh (27'), Randall (71'), Jade-Jones (89', 90+3')
(57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Newport County and Peterborough United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newport County

All competitions

Last Game: Newport 0-0 Fleetwood
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Peterborough United

All competitions

Last Game: Bolton 1-0 Peterborough
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 49.94%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 27.21% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8%) and 0-2 (7.33%). The likeliest Newport County win was 2-1 (6.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.

Result
Newport County	Draw	Peterborough United
27.21% ( -0.03)	22.85% ( -0)	49.94% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 61.08% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.55% (

-0.02)

39.45% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.21% (

-0.02)

61.79% (

0.02)

Newport County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.73% (

-0.03)

27.27% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.29% (

-0.04)

62.71% (

0.04)

Peterborough United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.99% (

16.01% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.66% (

0.01)

45.34% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Newport County 27.21%

Peterborough United 49.94%

Draw 22.85%

Newport County	Draw	Peterborough United
2-1 @ 6.75% ( -0) 1-0 @ 5.67% 2-0 @ 3.69% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.93% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.68% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.6% ( -0) 4-1 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 2.95% Total : 27.21%	1-1 @ 10.39% 2-2 @ 6.19% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.37% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.64% ( -0) Other @ 0.27% Total : 22.85%	1-2 @ 9.52% ( 0) 0-1 @ 8% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 7.33% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 5.81% ( 0) 0-3 @ 4.47% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.78% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.66% ( 0) 0-4 @ 2.05% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.73% ( -0) 1-5 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 3.62% Total : 49.94%