

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 43.83%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 30.95% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.07%) and 0-2 (7.33%). The likeliest Newport County win was 1-0 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Newport County | Draw | Salford City | 
| 30.95% (  1.6) | 25.21% (  0.15) | 43.83% (  -1.76) | 
| Both teams to score 55.46% (  0.37) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 52.03% (  0.09) | 47.96% (  -0.09) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 29.86% (  0.08) | 70.14% (  -0.08) | 
| Newport County Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 70.98% (  1.15) | 29.02% (  -1.15) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.08% (  1.4) | 64.92% (  -1.4) | 
| Salford City Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 78.13% (  -0.76) | 21.87% (  0.76) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.89% (  -1.17) | 55.11% (  1.17) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Newport County | Draw | Salford City | 
| 1-0 @ 7.85% (  0.22) 2-1 @ 7.38% (  0.27) 2-0 @ 4.86% (  0.28) 3-1 @ 3.05% (  0.2) 3-2 @ 2.31% (  0.1) 3-0 @ 2% (  0.18) 4-1 @ 0.94% (  0.09) Other @ 2.56% Total : 30.95% | 1-1 @ 11.93% (  0.06) 0-0 @ 6.35% (  -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.61% (  0.08) 3-3 @ 1.17% (  0.03) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.21% | 0-1 @ 9.65% (  -0.26) 1-2 @ 9.07% (  -0.16) 0-2 @ 7.33% (  -0.37) 1-3 @ 4.6% (  -0.19) 0-3 @ 3.72% (  -0.28) 2-3 @ 2.84% (  -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.75% (  -0.12) 0-4 @ 1.41% (  -0.14) 2-4 @ 1.08% (  -0.04) Other @ 2.39% Total : 43.83% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 46 | 24 | 12 | 10 | 73 | 50 | 23 | 84 | 
| P | Port Vale | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 80 | 
| P | Bradford CityBradford | 46 | 22 | 12 | 12 | 64 | 45 | 19 | 78 | 
| 4 | Walsall | 46 | 21 | 14 | 11 | 75 | 54 | 21 | 77 | 
| 5 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 20 | 13 | 13 | 56 | 35 | 21 | 73 | 
| 6 | Notts County | 46 | 20 | 12 | 14 | 68 | 49 | 19 | 72 | 
| 7 | Chesterfield | 46 | 19 | 13 | 14 | 73 | 54 | 19 | 70 | 
| 8 | Salford City | 46 | 18 | 15 | 13 | 64 | 54 | 10 | 69 | 
| 9 | Grimsby Town | 46 | 20 | 8 | 18 | 61 | 67 | -6 | 68 | 
| 10 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 46 | 16 | 19 | 11 | 52 | 47 | 5 | 67 | 
| 11 | Bromley | 46 | 17 | 15 | 14 | 64 | 59 | 5 | 66 | 
| 12 | Swindon TownSwindon | 46 | 15 | 17 | 14 | 71 | 63 | 8 | 62 | 
| 13 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 46 | 15 | 17 | 14 | 49 | 48 | 1 | 62 | 
| 14 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 46 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 60 | 60 | 0 | 60 | 
| 15 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 46 | 16 | 12 | 18 | 60 | 70 | -10 | 60 | 
| 16 | BarrowBarrow | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 52 | 50 | 2 | 59 | 
| 17 | Gillingham | 46 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 58 | 
| 18 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 43 | 61 | -18 | 53 | 
| 19 | MK Dons | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 52 | 66 | -14 | 52 | 
| 20 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 46 | 12 | 15 | 19 | 45 | 65 | -20 | 51 | 
| 21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 46 | 12 | 14 | 20 | 53 | 69 | -16 | 50 | 
| 22 | Newport CountyNewport | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 52 | 76 | -24 | 49 | 
| R | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 46 | 10 | 12 | 24 | 44 | 71 | -27 | 42 | 
| R | Morecambe | 46 | 10 | 6 | 30 | 40 | 72 | -32 | 36 | 
| > League Two Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
