

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 44.83%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 29.97% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.16%) and 0-2 (7.58%). The likeliest Newport County win was 1-0 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Newport County | Draw | Crewe Alexandra | 
| 29.97% | 25.19% (  -0) | 44.83% | 
| Both teams to score 55.01% (  0) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 51.68% (  0) | 48.32% (  -0) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 29.54% (  0) | 70.46% (  -0) | 
| Newport County Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 70.13% | 29.87% (  -0) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.04% (  0) | 65.96% (  -0) | 
| Crewe Alexandra Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 78.44% | 21.56% (  -0) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 45.36% | 54.64% (  -0) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Newport County | Draw | Crewe Alexandra | 
| 1-0 @ 7.78% (  -0) 2-1 @ 7.21% 2-0 @ 4.7% 3-1 @ 2.91% (  0) 3-2 @ 2.23% 3-0 @ 1.89% Other @ 3.25% Total : 29.97% | 1-1 @ 11.93% 0-0 @ 6.44% (  -0) 2-2 @ 5.53% 3-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.19% | 0-1 @ 9.88% 1-2 @ 9.16% 0-2 @ 7.58% 1-3 @ 4.69% 0-3 @ 3.88% 2-3 @ 2.83% 1-4 @ 1.8% 0-4 @ 1.49% 2-4 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.45% Total : 44.83% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 46 | 24 | 12 | 10 | 73 | 50 | 23 | 84 | 
| P | Port Vale | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 80 | 
| P | Bradford CityBradford | 46 | 22 | 12 | 12 | 64 | 45 | 19 | 78 | 
| 4 | Walsall | 46 | 21 | 14 | 11 | 75 | 54 | 21 | 77 | 
| 5 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 20 | 13 | 13 | 56 | 35 | 21 | 73 | 
| 6 | Notts County | 46 | 20 | 12 | 14 | 68 | 49 | 19 | 72 | 
| 7 | Chesterfield | 46 | 19 | 13 | 14 | 73 | 54 | 19 | 70 | 
| 8 | Salford City | 46 | 18 | 15 | 13 | 64 | 54 | 10 | 69 | 
| 9 | Grimsby Town | 46 | 20 | 8 | 18 | 61 | 67 | -6 | 68 | 
| 10 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 46 | 16 | 19 | 11 | 52 | 47 | 5 | 67 | 
| 11 | Bromley | 46 | 17 | 15 | 14 | 64 | 59 | 5 | 66 | 
| 12 | Swindon TownSwindon | 46 | 15 | 17 | 14 | 71 | 63 | 8 | 62 | 
| 13 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 46 | 15 | 17 | 14 | 49 | 48 | 1 | 62 | 
| 14 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 46 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 60 | 60 | 0 | 60 | 
| 15 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 46 | 16 | 12 | 18 | 60 | 70 | -10 | 60 | 
| 16 | BarrowBarrow | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 52 | 50 | 2 | 59 | 
| 17 | Gillingham | 46 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 58 | 
| 18 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 43 | 61 | -18 | 53 | 
| 19 | MK Dons | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 52 | 66 | -14 | 52 | 
| 20 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 46 | 12 | 15 | 19 | 45 | 65 | -20 | 51 | 
| 21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 46 | 12 | 14 | 20 | 53 | 69 | -16 | 50 | 
| 22 | Newport CountyNewport | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 52 | 76 | -24 | 49 | 
| R | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 46 | 10 | 12 | 24 | 44 | 71 | -27 | 42 | 
| R | Morecambe | 46 | 10 | 6 | 30 | 40 | 72 | -32 | 36 | 
| > League Two Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
