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Harrogate Town
League Two | Gameweek 11
Oct 12, 2024 at 3pm UK
CNG Stadium
Newport County

Harrogate
1 - 0
Newport

Sims (40')
Daly (11')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Harrogate Town and Newport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Crewe 1-0 Harrogate
Tuesday, October 8 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Bradford 3-1 Newport
Monday, October 7 at 8pm in League Two

We said: Harrogate Town 1-1 Newport County

With two relatively evenly-matched sides both fighting to get back to winning ways on Saturday, we anticipate a hard-fought encounter at the Exercise Stadium and cannot quite pick a winner, instead opting for what would be Newport's first league draw of the season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 42.36%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 32.94% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.65%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Newport County win was 1-2 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Harrogate Town would win this match.

Result
Harrogate TownDrawNewport County
42.36% (0.114 0.11) 24.7% (0.029 0.03) 32.94% (-0.137 -0.14)
Both teams to score 58.05% (-0.147 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.05% (-0.17299999999999 -0.17)44.95% (0.18 0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.7% (-0.165 -0.16)67.3% (0.17100000000001 0.17)
Harrogate Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.73% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)21.27% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.81% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)54.2% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.73% (-0.166 -0.17)26.27% (0.172 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.62% (-0.225 -0.23)61.38% (0.232 0.23)
Score Analysis
    Harrogate Town 42.36%
    Newport County 32.94%
    Draw 24.7%
Harrogate TownDrawNewport County
2-1 @ 8.95% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.65% (0.06 0.06)
2-0 @ 6.69% (0.042 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.62% (0.0029999999999992 0)
3-0 @ 3.45% (0.019 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.09% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.79%
4-0 @ 1.34% (0.006 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.19% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 42.36%
1-1 @ 11.56% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.98% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.59% (0.042 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.38% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.7%
1-2 @ 7.73% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-1 @ 7.47% (0.021 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.99% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.44% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.67% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.23% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.15% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 32.94%

How you voted: Harrogate vs Newport

Harrogate Town
55.0%
Draw
20.0%
Newport County
25.0%
20
Head to Head
Feb 27, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 30
Harrogate
1-4
Newport
Thomson (78')
Falkingham (55')
Evans (31' pen.), Zanzala (33', 52'), Palmer-Houlden (70')
Oct 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 12
Newport
1-2
Harrogate
Evans (58')
Wildig (65'), Delaney (69')
Thomson (42'), O'Connor (52')
Ramsay (74'), Sivi (90+2')
Apr 25, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 38
Newport
2-3
Harrogate
Bogle (3', 79')
Folarin (5'), Thomson (9'), Armstrong (83')
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 6
Harrogate
0-4
Newport
Bogle (4', 44'), Ramsay (9' og.), Nevers (22')
Drysdale (47'), Waite (51')
Jan 15, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 27
Newport
4-0
Harrogate
Demetriou (8' pen.), Telford (43', 49'), Baker-Richardson (55')
Cooper (22'), Norman (47')

Falkingham (8'), Armstrong (20'), Diarra (40')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CDoncaster RoversDoncaster4624121073502384
4Walsall4621141175542177
5AFC Wimbledon4620131356352173
6Notts County4620121468491972
7Chesterfield4619131473541970
8Salford City4618151364541069
9Grimsby Town46208186167-668
10Colchester UnitedColchester461619115247567
11Bromley461715146459566
12Swindon TownSwindon461517147163862
13Crewe AlexandraCrewe461517144948162
14Fleetwood TownFleetwood461515166060060
15Cheltenham TownCheltenham461612186070-1060
16BarrowBarrow461514175250259
17Gillingham461416164146-558
18Harrogate TownHarrogate461411214361-1853
19MK Dons461410225266-1452
20Tranmere RoversTranmere461215194565-2051
21Accrington StanleyAccrington461214205369-1650
22Newport CountyNewport461310235276-2449
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle461012244471-2742
RMorecambe46106304072-3236


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