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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 42.36%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 32.94% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.65%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Newport County win was 1-2 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Harrogate Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Harrogate Town | Draw | Newport County |
42.36% (![]() | 24.7% (![]() | 32.94% (![]() |
Both teams to score 58.05% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.05% (![]() | 44.95% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.7% (![]() | 67.3% (![]() |
Harrogate Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.73% (![]() | 21.27% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.81% (![]() | 54.2% (![]() |
Newport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.73% (![]() | 26.27% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.62% (![]() | 61.38% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Harrogate Town | Draw | Newport County |
2-1 @ 8.95% (![]() 1-0 @ 8.65% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.69% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.62% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.45% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.09% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.79% 4-0 @ 1.34% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.19% ( ![]() Other @ 2.61% Total : 42.36% | 1-1 @ 11.56% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.98% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 5.59% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.38% ( ![]() Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.7% | 1-2 @ 7.73% (![]() 0-1 @ 7.47% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.99% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.44% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.67% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.23% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.15% ( ![]() Other @ 3.26% Total : 32.94% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 37 | 20 | 9 | 8 | 67 | 43 | 24 | 69 |
2 | Bradford CityBradford | 37 | 19 | 9 | 9 | 48 | 31 | 17 | 66 |
3 | AFC Wimbledon | 37 | 18 | 9 | 10 | 49 | 26 | 23 | 63 |
4 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 37 | 18 | 9 | 10 | 54 | 44 | 10 | 63 |
5 | Notts County | 37 | 17 | 10 | 10 | 56 | 39 | 17 | 61 |
6 | Port Vale | 36 | 16 | 13 | 7 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 61 |
7 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 37 | 14 | 16 | 7 | 45 | 33 | 12 | 58 |
8 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 37 | 14 | 15 | 8 | 45 | 38 | 7 | 57 |
9 | Grimsby Town | 37 | 17 | 5 | 15 | 51 | 54 | -3 | 56 |
10 | Salford City | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 44 | 41 | 3 | 53 |
11 | Bromley | 37 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 52 |
12 | Chesterfield | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 58 | 44 | 14 | 51 |
13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 37 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 51 | 54 | -3 | 50 |
14 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 37 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 49 | 46 | 3 | 49 |
15 | Swindon TownSwindon | 37 | 11 | 14 | 12 | 55 | 55 | 0 | 47 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 37 | 13 | 7 | 17 | 48 | 61 | -13 | 46 |
17 | BarrowBarrow | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 40 | 43 | -3 | 44 |
18 | MK Dons | 36 | 12 | 6 | 18 | 46 | 53 | -7 | 42 |
19 | Gillingham | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 31 | 39 | -8 | 42 |
20 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 45 | 55 | -10 | 40 |
21 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 37 | 11 | 7 | 19 | 29 | 48 | -19 | 40 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 28 | 55 | -27 | 36 |
23 | Morecambe | 37 | 8 | 6 | 23 | 33 | 56 | -23 | 30 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 36 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 26 | 53 | -27 | 27 |
> League Two Full Table |