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Harrogate Town
League Two | Gameweek 11
Oct 12, 2024 at 3pm UK
CNG Stadium
Newport County

Harrogate
1 - 0
Newport

Sims (40')
Daly (11')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Harrogate Town and Newport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Crewe 1-0 Harrogate
Tuesday, October 8 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Bradford 3-1 Newport
Monday, October 7 at 8pm in League Two

We said: Harrogate Town 1-1 Newport County

With two relatively evenly-matched sides both fighting to get back to winning ways on Saturday, we anticipate a hard-fought encounter at the Exercise Stadium and cannot quite pick a winner, instead opting for what would be Newport's first league draw of the season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 42.36%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 32.94% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.65%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Newport County win was 1-2 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Harrogate Town would win this match.

Result
Harrogate TownDrawNewport County
42.36% (0.114 0.11) 24.7% (0.029 0.03) 32.94% (-0.137 -0.14)
Both teams to score 58.05% (-0.147 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.05% (-0.17299999999999 -0.17)44.95% (0.18 0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.7% (-0.165 -0.16)67.3% (0.17100000000001 0.17)
Harrogate Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.73% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)21.27% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.81% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)54.2% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.73% (-0.166 -0.17)26.27% (0.172 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.62% (-0.225 -0.23)61.38% (0.232 0.23)
Score Analysis
    Harrogate Town 42.36%
    Newport County 32.94%
    Draw 24.7%
Harrogate TownDrawNewport County
2-1 @ 8.95% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.65% (0.06 0.06)
2-0 @ 6.69% (0.042 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.62% (0.0029999999999992 0)
3-0 @ 3.45% (0.019 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.09% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.79%
4-0 @ 1.34% (0.006 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.19% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 42.36%
1-1 @ 11.56% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.98% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.59% (0.042 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.38% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.7%
1-2 @ 7.73% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-1 @ 7.47% (0.021 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.99% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.44% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.67% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.23% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.15% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 32.94%

How you voted: Harrogate vs Newport

Harrogate Town
55.0%
Draw
20.0%
Newport County
25.0%
20
Head to Head
Feb 27, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 30
Harrogate
1-4
Newport
Thomson (78')
Falkingham (55')
Evans (31' pen.), Zanzala (33', 52'), Palmer-Houlden (70')
Oct 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 12
Newport
1-2
Harrogate
Evans (58')
Wildig (65'), Delaney (69')
Thomson (42'), O'Connor (52')
Ramsay (74'), Sivi (90+2')
Apr 25, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 38
Newport
2-3
Harrogate
Bogle (3', 79')
Folarin (5'), Thomson (9'), Armstrong (83')
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 6
Harrogate
0-4
Newport
Bogle (4', 44'), Ramsay (9' og.), Nevers (22')
Drysdale (47'), Waite (51')
Jan 15, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 27
Newport
4-0
Harrogate
Demetriou (8' pen.), Telford (43', 49'), Baker-Richardson (55')
Cooper (22'), Norman (47')

Falkingham (8'), Armstrong (20'), Diarra (40')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall37209867432469
2Bradford CityBradford37199948311766
3AFC Wimbledon371891049262363
4Doncaster RoversDoncaster371891054441063
5Notts County3717101056391761
6Port Vale361613747371061
7Colchester UnitedColchester371416745331258
8Crewe AlexandraCrewe37141584538757
9Grimsby Town37175155154-356
10Salford City371411124441353
11Bromley371313114845352
12Chesterfield361491358441451
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham371311135154-350
14Fleetwood TownFleetwood371213124946349
15Swindon TownSwindon371114125555047
16Newport CountyNewport37137174861-1346
17BarrowBarrow36128164043-344
18MK Dons36126184653-742
19Gillingham36119163139-842
20Accrington StanleyAccrington371010174555-1040
21Harrogate TownHarrogate37117192948-1940
22Tranmere RoversTranmere37812172855-2736
23Morecambe3786233356-2330
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle3669212653-2727


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