In League Two this season, no side has faced as many shots as Newport (150), whilst they rank second in terms of shots on target; furthermore, they have the division's third-worst defensive record.
Therefore, Bradford should be able to find the net more than once - but that may not be sufficient to take maximum points.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 68.05%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Newport County had a probability of 12.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.06%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.35%), while for a Newport County win it was 0-1 (4.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bradford City would win this match.
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