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Harrogate Town
League Two | Gameweek 30
Feb 27, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
CNG Stadium
Newport County

Harrogate
1 - 4
Newport

Thomson (78')
Falkingham (55')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Evans (31' pen.), Zanzala (33', 52'), Palmer-Houlden (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Harrogate Town and Newport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Harrogate 0-2 Walsall
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: MK Dons 3-0 Newport
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Harrogate Town 2-1 Newport County

Harrogate Town and Newport County have suffered a drop-off in form of late and will head into Tuesday's clash in search of a morale-boosting result. While both sides are evenly matched on paper, we fancy Weaver's men to secure a narrow victory in front of their home supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 39.73%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 35.47% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.31%) and 2-0 (6.2%). The likeliest Newport County win was 1-2 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.

Result
Harrogate TownDrawNewport County
39.73% (3.327 3.33) 24.8% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04) 35.47% (-3.291 -3.29)
Both teams to score 58.31% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.12% (0.067 0.07)44.88% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.76% (0.066000000000003 0.07)67.23% (-0.065000000000012 -0.07)
Harrogate Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.49% (1.761 1.76)22.5% (-1.762 -1.76)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.93% (2.561 2.56)56.07% (-2.561 -2.56)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.25% (-1.73 -1.73)24.75% (1.73 1.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.69% (-2.479 -2.48)59.31% (2.478 2.48)
Score Analysis
    Harrogate Town 39.73%
    Newport County 35.47%
    Draw 24.8%
Harrogate TownDrawNewport County
2-1 @ 8.65% (0.423 0.42)
1-0 @ 8.31% (0.397 0.4)
2-0 @ 6.2% (0.594 0.59)
3-1 @ 4.3% (0.418 0.42)
3-0 @ 3.08% (0.436 0.44)
3-2 @ 3% (0.151 0.15)
4-1 @ 1.6% (0.229 0.23)
4-0 @ 1.15% (0.212 0.21)
4-2 @ 1.12% (0.11 0.11)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 39.73%
1-1 @ 11.6% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.04% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 5.57% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.4% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.8%
1-2 @ 8.1% (-0.435 -0.43)
0-1 @ 7.78% (-0.427 -0.43)
0-2 @ 5.43% (-0.596 -0.6)
1-3 @ 3.77% (-0.409 -0.41)
2-3 @ 2.81% (-0.147 -0.15)
0-3 @ 2.53% (-0.423 -0.42)
1-4 @ 1.32% (-0.218 -0.22)
2-4 @ 0.98% (-0.105 -0.11)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 35.47%

How you voted: Harrogate vs Newport

Harrogate Town
75.0%
Draw
25.0%
Newport County
0.0%
8
Head to Head
Oct 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 12
Newport
1-2
Harrogate
Evans (58')
Wildig (65'), Delaney (69')
Thomson (42'), O'Connor (52')
Ramsay (74'), Sivi (90+2')
Apr 25, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 38
Newport
2-3
Harrogate
Bogle (3', 79')
Folarin (5'), Thomson (9'), Armstrong (83')
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 6
Harrogate
0-4
Newport
Bogle (4', 44'), Ramsay (9' og.), Nevers (22')
Drysdale (47'), Waite (51')
Jan 15, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 27
Newport
4-0
Harrogate
Demetriou (8' pen.), Telford (43', 49'), Baker-Richardson (55')
Cooper (22'), Norman (47')

Falkingham (8'), Armstrong (20'), Diarra (40')
Sep 10, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Harrogate
2-2
Newport
Muldoon (34'), Armstrong (43')
Bennett (3'), Willmott (38')
Demetriou (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall37209867432469
2Bradford CityBradford36199848301866
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster371891054441063
4Notts County361710955371861
5AFC Wimbledon361791047252260
6Port Vale35151374437758
7Crewe AlexandraCrewe37141584538757
8Grimsby Town36175145153-256
9Colchester UnitedColchester36131674233955
10Bromley371313114845352
11Salford City361311124341250
12Cheltenham TownCheltenham371311135154-350
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood361213114943649
14Chesterfield351391356431348
15Swindon TownSwindon371114125555047
16BarrowBarrow35127163841-343
17Newport CountyNewport36127174561-1643
18MK Dons35126174650-442
19Gillingham35118163038-841
20Harrogate TownHarrogate36117182945-1640
21Accrington StanleyAccrington36109174454-1039
22Tranmere RoversTranmere36712172755-2833
23Morecambe3685233154-2329
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle3569202551-2627


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