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Championship header 2

League Two
Newport County
League Two | Gameweek 29
Jan 20, 2024 at 3pm UK
Rodney Parade
Wrexham AFC

Newport
1 - 0
Wrexham

Palmer-Houlden (34')
Morris (37'), Evans (55'), Charsley (64'), Waite (89'), Townsend (90'), Palmer-Houlden (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Parkinson (19'), McClean (37'), O'Connell (84'), Palmer (90+1')
Boyle (18')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Newport County and Wrexham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newport County

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Eastleigh 1-3 Newport
Tuesday, January 16 at 7.45pm in FA Cup

Wrexham

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Wrexham 2-0 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Newport County 0-1 Wrexham

 Not since October 7 have Newport fallen short in a League Two home fixture, but the Exiles still possess a tendency to ship goals at Rodney Parade - conceding in 11 of their 13 such matches so far - and FA Cup tiredness may also come into play for the hosts. Wrexham's shortcomings on the road - especially offensively - means that Newport should still give the title-chasers a good run for their money, and only one goal may separate the two sides on Saturday, but Parkinson's team should be the ones to score it. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 38.66%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 36.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (6.19%). The likeliest Newport County win was 1-0 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.

Result
Newport CountyDrawWrexham
36.11% (-0.299 -0.3) 25.22% (-0.083000000000002 -0.08) 38.66% (0.38 0.38)
Both teams to score 56.9% (0.259 0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.26% (0.345 0.34)46.74% (-0.346 -0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.99% (0.322 0.32)69% (-0.325 -0.33)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.74% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)25.25% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.99% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)60.01% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.12% (0.354 0.35)23.87% (-0.357 -0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.93% (0.506 0.51)58.07% (-0.508 -0.51)
Score Analysis
    Newport County 36.11%
    Wrexham 38.66%
    Draw 25.22%
Newport CountyDrawWrexham
1-0 @ 8.3% (-0.123 -0.12)
2-1 @ 8.18% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
2-0 @ 5.71% (-0.085 -0.09)
3-1 @ 3.75% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.69% (0.015 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.62% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.29% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.92% (0.005 0.01)
4-0 @ 0.9% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 36.11%
1-1 @ 11.88% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
0-0 @ 6.03% (-0.089 -0.09)
2-2 @ 5.86% (0.034 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.28% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.22%
0-1 @ 8.64% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
1-2 @ 8.51% (0.051 0.05)
0-2 @ 6.19% (0.037999999999999 0.04)
1-3 @ 4.06% (0.066 0.07)
0-3 @ 2.95% (0.048 0.05)
2-3 @ 2.8% (0.045 0.05)
1-4 @ 1.46% (0.039 0.04)
0-4 @ 1.06% (0.028 0.03)
2-4 @ 1% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 2%
Total : 38.66%

How you voted: Newport vs Wrexham

Newport County
33.3%
Draw
11.1%
Wrexham
55.6%
18
Head to Head
Dec 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 23
Wrexham
2-0
Newport
Jones (64'), Lee (87')

Wildig (9')
> Preview
Dec 11, 2018 7.45pm
Second Round Replays
Newport
4-0
Wrexham
Amond (49'), Matt (59'), Carrington (65' og.), Butler (90')
Butler (16'), Pipe (56')

Pearson (16'), Lainton (16'), Fondop-Talom (81')
Young (12')
Dec 1, 2018 8pm
Second Round
Wrexham
0-0
Newport
Walker (65')
Sheehan (39'), O'Brien (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CStockport CountyStockport462711896484892
4MK Dons462391483681578
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster46218177368571
6Crewe AlexandraCrewe461914136965471
7Crawley TownCrawley46217187367670
8BarrowBarrow461815136256669
9Bradford CityBradford461912156159269
10AFC Wimbledon4617141564511365
11Walsall461811176973-465
12Gillingham461810184657-1164
13Harrogate TownHarrogate461712176069-963
14Notts County46187218986361
15Morecambe461710196781-1458
16Tranmere RoversTranmere46176236770-357
17Accrington StanleyAccrington46169216371-857
18Newport CountyNewport46167236276-1455
19Swindon TownSwindon461412207783-654
20Salford City461312216682-1651
21Grimsby Town461116195774-1749
22Colchester UnitedColchester461112235980-2145
RSutton UnitedSutton46915225984-2542
RForest Green RoversForest Green46119264478-3442
> League Two Full Table


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