League Two | Gameweek 24
Dec 26, 2023 at 3pm UK
County Ground
Swindon0 - 1Wrexham
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Tranmere 2-1 Swindon
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Wrexham 2-0 Newport
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in League Two
We said: Swindon Town 1-2 Wrexham
Although Wrexham have not been quite as sharp in the attacking third at home, they are going up against a side struggling to get back into form, and we believe the counter-pressing of the visitors will be able to create the opening they need to claim all three points. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 38.96%. A win for Wrexham had a probability of 37.57% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.62%) and 2-0 (5.34%). The likeliest Wrexham win was 1-2 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Swindon Town | Draw | Wrexham |
38.96% ( 0.31) | 23.46% ( 0.02) | 37.57% ( -0.35) |
| Both teams to score 63.56% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.84% ( -0.15) | 38.15% ( 0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.57% ( -0.16) | 60.42% ( 0.15) |
| Swindon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.05% ( 0.08) | 19.94% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.9% ( 0.13) | 52.09% ( -0.14) |
| Wrexham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.39% ( -0.24) | 20.6% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.85% ( -0.37) | 53.14% ( 0.36) |
| Score Analysis |
Swindon Town 38.96%
Wrexham 37.57%
Draw 23.45%
| Swindon Town | Draw | Wrexham |
| 2-1 @ 8.44% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 6.62% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 5.34% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 4.53% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 3.58% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.87% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.83% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.44% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.16% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.15% Total : 38.96% | 1-1 @ 10.46% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.66% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.11% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.33% Total : 23.45% | 1-2 @ 8.27% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 6.49% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.13% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 4.35% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 3.51% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.7% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.72% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.39% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.96% Total : 37.57% |
How you voted: Swindon vs Wrexham
Swindon Town
10.0%Draw
10.0%Wrexham
80.0%20
Head to Head
Aug 19, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 4
Wrexham
5-5
Swindon
Jan 13, 2007 3pm
Swindon
2-1
Wrexham
Williams (8')
Mitchell (37'), Roche (56'), Spender (63')
Mitchell (37'), Roche (56'), Spender (63')
Mar 19, 2005 3pm
Aug 7, 2004 3pm
