

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 57.96%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 21.4% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.94%) and 1-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Newport County win was 1-2 (5.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wrexham | Draw | Newport County | 
| 57.96% (  -0.25) | 20.63% (  0.11) | 21.4% (  0.14) | 
| Both teams to score 62.12% (  -0.18) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 64.96% (  -0.33) | 35.04% (  0.33) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 42.97% (  -0.37) | 57.03% (  0.37) | 
| Wrexham Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 88.02% (  -0.17) | 11.98% (  0.17) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 62.61% (  -0.37) | 37.39% (  0.37) | 
| Newport County Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 70.57% (  -0.06) | 29.43% (  0.06) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.58% (  -0.08) | 65.42% (  0.08) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Wrexham | Draw | Newport County | 
| 2-1 @ 9.71% (  0.01) 2-0 @ 7.94% (  0.02) 1-0 @ 7.48% (  0.07) 3-1 @ 6.87% (  -0.04) 3-0 @ 5.61% (  -0.02) 3-2 @ 4.2% (  -0.03) 4-1 @ 3.64% (  -0.04) 4-0 @ 2.98% (  -0.03) 4-2 @ 2.23% (  -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.55% (  -0.03) 5-0 @ 1.26% (  -0.02) 5-2 @ 0.95% (  -0.02) 4-3 @ 0.91% (  -0.01) Other @ 2.64% Total : 57.96% | 1-1 @ 9.15% (  0.07) 2-2 @ 5.94% (  -0) 0-0 @ 3.52% (  0.06) 3-3 @ 1.71% (  -0.01) Other @ 0.31% Total : 20.63% | 1-2 @ 5.6% (  0.04) 0-1 @ 4.31% (  0.06) 0-2 @ 2.64% (  0.04) 2-3 @ 2.42% (  -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.28% (  0.01) 0-3 @ 1.08% (  0.01) Other @ 3.08% Total : 21.4% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Stockport CountyStockport | 46 | 27 | 11 | 8 | 96 | 48 | 48 | 92 | 
| P | Wrexham | 46 | 26 | 10 | 10 | 89 | 52 | 37 | 88 | 
| P | Mansfield TownMansfield | 46 | 24 | 14 | 8 | 90 | 47 | 43 | 86 | 
| 4 | MK Dons | 46 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 83 | 68 | 15 | 78 | 
| 5 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 46 | 21 | 8 | 17 | 73 | 68 | 5 | 71 | 
| 6 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 69 | 65 | 4 | 71 | 
| 7 | Crawley TownCrawley | 46 | 21 | 7 | 18 | 73 | 67 | 6 | 70 | 
| 8 | BarrowBarrow | 46 | 18 | 15 | 13 | 62 | 56 | 6 | 69 | 
| 9 | Bradford CityBradford | 46 | 19 | 12 | 15 | 61 | 59 | 2 | 69 | 
| 10 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 64 | 51 | 13 | 65 | 
| 11 | Walsall | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 69 | 73 | -4 | 65 | 
| 12 | Gillingham | 46 | 18 | 10 | 18 | 46 | 57 | -11 | 64 | 
| 13 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 60 | 69 | -9 | 63 | 
| 14 | Notts County | 46 | 18 | 7 | 21 | 89 | 86 | 3 | 61 | 
| 15 | Morecambe | 46 | 17 | 10 | 19 | 67 | 81 | -14 | 58 | 
| 16 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 46 | 17 | 6 | 23 | 67 | 70 | -3 | 57 | 
| 17 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 46 | 16 | 9 | 21 | 63 | 71 | -8 | 57 | 
| 18 | Newport CountyNewport | 46 | 16 | 7 | 23 | 62 | 76 | -14 | 55 | 
| 19 | Swindon TownSwindon | 46 | 14 | 12 | 20 | 77 | 83 | -6 | 54 | 
| 20 | Salford City | 46 | 13 | 12 | 21 | 66 | 82 | -16 | 51 | 
| 21 | Grimsby Town | 46 | 11 | 16 | 19 | 57 | 74 | -17 | 49 | 
| 22 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 46 | 11 | 12 | 23 | 59 | 80 | -21 | 45 | 
| R | Sutton UnitedSutton | 46 | 9 | 15 | 22 | 59 | 84 | -25 | 42 | 
| R | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 46 | 11 | 9 | 26 | 44 | 78 | -34 | 42 | 
| > League Two Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
