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Championship header 2

League Two
Mansfield Town
League Two | Gameweek 18
Nov 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
One Call Stadium
Newport County

Mansfield
2 - 0
Newport

Keillor-Dunn (4', 51')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Bogle (33'), Coughlan (34'), Bennett (58'), Morris (61'), Clarke (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Mansfield Town and Newport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mansfield Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Salford City 1-2 Mansfield
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in League Two

Newport County

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Newport 0-1 Bristol Rovers
Tuesday, November 14 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Mansfield Town 3-1 Newport County

 With two clean sheets in succession, Newport will have confidence that they can leave Field Mill with at least a share of the spoils. However, we cannot back against Mansfield versus the majority of opponents in this league, resulting in us predicting a hard-earned triumph for Clough's side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 56.66%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Newport County had a probability of 20.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 2-0 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.54%), while for a Newport County win it was 0-1 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.

Result
Mansfield TownDrawNewport County
56.66% (1.007 1.01) 22.39% (-0.168 -0.17) 20.95% (-0.841 -0.84)
Both teams to score 55.19% (-0.67899999999999 -0.68)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.17% (-0.313 -0.31)43.83% (0.312 0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.78% (-0.306 -0.31)66.21% (0.30499999999999 0.3)
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.73% (0.226 0.23)15.27% (-0.229 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.04% (0.428 0.43)43.96% (-0.428 -0.43)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.14% (-0.98 -0.98)34.86% (0.979 0.98)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.4% (-1.045 -1.05)71.59% (1.044 1.04)
Score Analysis
    Mansfield Town 56.66%
    Newport County 20.95%
    Draw 22.38%
Mansfield TownDrawNewport County
1-0 @ 10% (0.212 0.21)
2-1 @ 9.91% (0.028 0.03)
2-0 @ 9.4% (0.274 0.27)
3-1 @ 6.21% (0.066000000000001 0.07)
3-0 @ 5.89% (0.216 0.22)
3-2 @ 3.27% (-0.053 -0.05)
4-1 @ 2.92% (0.054 0.05)
4-0 @ 2.77% (0.122 0.12)
4-2 @ 1.54% (-0.012 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.1% (0.029 0.03)
5-0 @ 1.04% (0.054 0.05)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 56.66%
1-1 @ 10.54% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 5.32% (0.072 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.22% (-0.126 -0.13)
3-3 @ 1.15% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.38%
0-1 @ 5.61% (-0.074000000000001 -0.07)
1-2 @ 5.55% (-0.18 -0.18)
0-2 @ 2.96% (-0.12 -0.12)
1-3 @ 1.95% (-0.118 -0.12)
2-3 @ 1.83% (-0.095 -0.1)
0-3 @ 1.04% (-0.071 -0.07)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 20.95%

How you voted: Mansfield vs Newport

Mansfield Town
50.0%
Draw
41.7%
Newport County
8.3%
12
Head to Head
Apr 18, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 43
Newport
1-2
Mansfield
Wildig (86')
Boateng (24'), Gale (73')
Oct 25, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Mansfield
0-0
Newport
Feb 19, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 2
Newport
1-1
Mansfield
Telford (82' pen.)
Baker-Richardson (74')
Pask (68' og.)
Hawkins (74'), Quinn (83'), McLaughlin (84')
O'Toole (73')
Aug 14, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 33
Mansfield
2-1
Newport
Maris (7'), Clarke (43')
Perch (30'), Gordon (68'), Hawkins (74')
Willmott (9')
Abraham (21'), Missilou (33'), Haynes (72')
Apr 9, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 41
Mansfield
1-1
Newport
Sinclair (84')
Lapslie (57')
Labadie (75')
Lewis (81'), Labadie (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CStockport CountyStockport462711896484892
4MK Dons462391483681578
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster46218177368571
6Crewe AlexandraCrewe461914136965471
7Crawley TownCrawley46217187367670
8BarrowBarrow461815136256669
9Bradford CityBradford461912156159269
10AFC Wimbledon4617141564511365
11Walsall461811176973-465
12Gillingham461810184657-1164
13Harrogate TownHarrogate461712176069-963
14Notts County46187218986361
15Morecambe461710196781-1458
16Tranmere RoversTranmere46176236770-357
17Accrington StanleyAccrington46169216371-857
18Newport CountyNewport46167236276-1455
19Swindon TownSwindon461412207783-654
20Salford City461312216682-1651
21Grimsby Town461116195774-1749
22Colchester UnitedColchester461112235980-2145
RSutton UnitedSutton46915225984-2542
RForest Green RoversForest Green46119264478-3442
> League Two Full Table


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