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FA Cup
Newport County
FA Cup | First Round
Nov 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
Rodney Parade
Oldham Athletic
Newport
2 - 0
Oldham
McLoughlin (20', 80')
Morris (19'), Wood (70'), Bogle (90+7')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Sheron (10'), Kitching (22')
Coverage of the FA Cup First Round clash between Newport County and Oldham Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newport County

All competitions
Last Game: Newport 0-1 West Ham U21s
Tuesday, October 31 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy

Oldham Athletic

All competitions
Last Game: Oldham 2-2 Altrincham
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in National League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 46.07%. A win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 29.66% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Oldham Athletic win was 1-2 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newport County would win this match.

Result
Newport CountyDrawOldham Athletic
46.07% (0.036999999999999 0.04) 24.26% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05) 29.66% (0.012 0.01)
Both teams to score 57.97% (0.17599999999999 0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.64% (0.231 0.23)44.35% (-0.23 -0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.27% (0.22300000000001 0.22)66.73% (-0.22199999999999 -0.22)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.6% (0.108 0.11)19.39% (-0.108 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.8% (0.176 0.18)51.2% (-0.17599999999999 -0.18)
Oldham Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.92% (0.12299999999999 0.12)28.08% (-0.122 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.26% (0.156 0.16)63.74% (-0.154 -0.15)
Score Analysis
    Newport County 46.07%
    Oldham Athletic 29.66%
    Draw 24.26%
Newport CountyDrawOldham Athletic
2-1 @ 9.3% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-0 @ 8.93% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06)
2-0 @ 7.33% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.09% (0.019 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.01% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 3.23% (0.023 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.09% (0.015 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.64% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.33% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 46.07%
1-1 @ 11.34% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.91% (0.022 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.45% (-0.053999999999999 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.37% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.26%
1-2 @ 7.21% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 6.92% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-2 @ 4.39% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.05% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.5% (0.018 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.86% (0.0010000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 0.97% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 29.66%

Head to Head
Feb 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 32
Newport
3-3
Oldham
Haynes (14'), Telford (40'), Demetriou (89')
Bennett (11')
Keillor-Dunn (28'), Fondop (49', 82')
Hart (7'), Bahamboula (29'), Missilou (66')
Bahamboula (69')
Aug 7, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 1
Oldham
0-1
Newport

Piergianni (14'), Hart (22'), Blyth (36')
Ellison (88')
Norman (14'), Abraham (90+5')
Jan 23, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 25
Oldham
3-2
Newport
Keillor-Dunn (8'), Grant (29'), Demetriou (74' og.)
Hilssner (6'), Adams (87'), Clarke (90+5')
Scrimshaw (3'), Gambin (40')
Bennett (76')
Labadie (14')
Dec 19, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 19
Newport
2-4
Oldham
Twine (8'), Bennett (41')
Haynes (80')
Keillor-Dunn (14'), McAleny (58'), McCalmont (85'), Dearnley (90+3')
Clarke (48'), Ntambwe (81')
Feb 29, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 36
Oldham
5-0
Newport
Rowe (25', 52'), Dearnley (27'), Hamer (62'), Smith (83')

Demetriou (55')
rhs 2.0
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