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Oxford United
Championship | Gameweek 38
Mar 15, 2025 at 3pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
Watford logo

Oxford Utd
1 - 0
Watford

Dembele (82')
Placheta (67')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Sierralta (51'), Abankwah (67')
Abankwah (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Oxford United and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hull City 2-1 Oxford Utd
Wednesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 1-0 Swansea
Wednesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Oxford United 1-2 Watford

Oxford are at serious risk of relegation with their form, and they are unlikely to rectify the situation this weekend against a team in the hunt for promotion. That being said, Rowett was particularly angry with his players after last time out, so expect them to put in a stronger performance this time around to make Watford fight for the points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 37.36%. A win for Watford had a probability of 36.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.26%) and 2-0 (6.31%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (9.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Oxford United in this match.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawWatford
37.36% (-0.19600000000001 -0.2) 26.17% (0.050999999999998 0.05) 36.47% (0.14299999999999 0.14)
Both teams to score 53.65% (-0.17299999999999 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.09% (-0.22199999999999 -0.22)50.91% (0.219 0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.21% (-0.197 -0.2)72.79% (0.194 0.19)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.5% (-0.217 -0.22)26.5% (0.214 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.31% (-0.285 -0.28)61.69% (0.282 0.28)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.99% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)27% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.64% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)62.36% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 37.36%
    Watford 36.47%
    Draw 26.17%
Oxford UnitedDrawWatford
1-0 @ 9.5% (0.026 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.26% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-0 @ 6.31% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.66% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-0 @ 2.79% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.39% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.22% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-0 @ 0.93% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 37.36%
1-1 @ 12.44% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 7.16% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.41% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.05% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.17%
0-1 @ 9.37% (0.077000000000002 0.08)
1-2 @ 8.14% (0.013 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.13% (0.047 0.05)
1-3 @ 3.55% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 2.68% (0.019 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.36% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.16%
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 36.47%

How you voted: Oxford Utd vs Watford

Oxford United
32.1%
Draw
10.7%
Watford
57.1%
28
Head to Head
Nov 8, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 15
Watford
1-0
Oxford Utd
Issouf Bayo (54')
Porteous (34'), Baah (38'), Ebosele (62'), Issouf Bayo (75'), Morris (90+3'), Cleverley (90+6')

McEachran (45+1'), Moore (75')
Sep 15, 2020 7pm
Second Round
Oxford Utd
1-1
Watford
(Aggregate 1-1 | Watford win 3-0 on penalties)
Hall (26')
Sema (89')
Navarro (72')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeeds UnitedLeeds4629134953065100
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd462881063362790
4Sunderland4621131258441476
5Coventry CityCoventry46209176458669
6Bristol City461717125955468
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn46199185348566
8Millwall461812164749-266
9West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4615191257471064
10Middlesbrough461810186456864
11Swansea CitySwansea461710195156-561
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds461513186069-958
13Norwich CityNorwich461415177168357
14Watford46169215361-857
15Queens Park RangersQPR461414185363-1056
16Portsmouth461412205871-1354
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd461314194965-1653
18Stoke CityStoke461215194562-1751
19Derby CountyDerby461311224856-850
20Preston North EndPreston461020164859-1150
21Hull City461213214454-1049
RLuton TownLuton461310234569-2449
RPlymouth ArgylePlymouth461113225188-3746
RCardiff CityCardiff46917204873-2544


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