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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 37.36%. A win for Watford had a probability of 36.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.26%) and 2-0 (6.31%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (9.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Oxford United in this match.
Result | ||
Oxford United | Draw | Watford |
37.36% (![]() | 26.17% (![]() | 36.47% (![]() |
Both teams to score 53.65% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.09% (![]() | 50.91% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.21% (![]() | 72.79% (![]() |
Oxford United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.5% (![]() | 26.5% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.31% (![]() | 61.69% (![]() |
Watford Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.99% (![]() | 27% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.64% (![]() | 62.36% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Oxford United | Draw | Watford |
1-0 @ 9.5% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.26% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.31% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.66% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.79% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.39% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.22% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 0.93% ( ![]() Other @ 2.29% Total : 37.36% | 1-1 @ 12.44% (![]() 0-0 @ 7.16% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.41% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.05% ( ![]() Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.17% | 0-1 @ 9.37% (![]() 1-2 @ 8.14% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 6.13% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.55% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.68% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.36% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.16% Other @ 3.08% Total : 36.47% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 45 | 28 | 13 | 4 | 93 | 29 | 64 | 97 |
2 | Burnley | 45 | 27 | 16 | 2 | 66 | 15 | 51 | 97 |
3 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 45 | 28 | 7 | 10 | 62 | 35 | 27 | 89 |
4 | Sunderland | 45 | 21 | 13 | 11 | 58 | 43 | 15 | 76 |
5 | Bristol City | 45 | 17 | 16 | 12 | 57 | 53 | 4 | 67 |
6 | Coventry CityCoventry | 45 | 19 | 9 | 17 | 62 | 58 | 4 | 66 |
7 | Millwall | 45 | 18 | 12 | 15 | 46 | 46 | 0 | 66 |
8 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 45 | 19 | 8 | 18 | 52 | 47 | 5 | 65 |
9 | Middlesbrough | 45 | 18 | 10 | 17 | 64 | 54 | 10 | 64 |
10 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 45 | 14 | 19 | 12 | 52 | 44 | 8 | 61 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 45 | 17 | 9 | 19 | 48 | 53 | -5 | 60 |
12 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 45 | 15 | 12 | 18 | 59 | 68 | -9 | 57 |
13 | Watford | 45 | 16 | 8 | 21 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 56 |
14 | Norwich CityNorwich | 45 | 13 | 15 | 17 | 67 | 66 | 1 | 54 |
15 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 45 | 13 | 14 | 18 | 52 | 63 | -11 | 53 |
16 | Portsmouth | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 57 | 70 | -13 | 53 |
17 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 45 | 13 | 13 | 19 | 46 | 62 | -16 | 52 |
18 | Stoke CityStoke | 45 | 12 | 14 | 19 | 45 | 62 | -17 | 50 |
19 | Derby CountyDerby | 45 | 13 | 10 | 22 | 48 | 56 | -8 | 49 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 45 | 10 | 19 | 16 | 46 | 57 | -11 | 49 |
21 | Luton TownLuton | 45 | 13 | 10 | 22 | 42 | 64 | -22 | 49 |
22 | Hull City | 45 | 12 | 12 | 21 | 43 | 53 | -10 | 48 |
23 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 45 | 11 | 13 | 21 | 50 | 86 | -36 | 46 |
24 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 45 | 9 | 17 | 19 | 46 | 69 | -23 | 44 |
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