MX23RW : Tuesday, April 29 16:05:56| >> :300:86500:86500:
Blackburn logo
Bristol City
Burnley logo
Cardiff City logo
Coventry City
Derby logo
Hull logo
Leeds logo
Luton Town
Middlesbrough logo
Millwall logo
Norwich logo
Oxford United
Plymouth Argyle
Portsmouth
Preston North End logo
QPR logo
Sheffield United logo
Sheffield Wednesday logo
Stoke logo
Sunderland
Swansea logo
Watford logo
West Brom logo
Oxford United
Championship | Gameweek 38
Mar 15, 2025 at 3pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
Watford logo

Oxford Utd
1 - 0
Watford

Dembele (82')
Placheta (67')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Sierralta (51'), Abankwah (67')
Abankwah (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Oxford United and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hull City 2-1 Oxford Utd
Wednesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 1-0 Swansea
Wednesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Oxford United 1-2 Watford

Oxford are at serious risk of relegation with their form, and they are unlikely to rectify the situation this weekend against a team in the hunt for promotion. That being said, Rowett was particularly angry with his players after last time out, so expect them to put in a stronger performance this time around to make Watford fight for the points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 37.36%. A win for Watford had a probability of 36.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.26%) and 2-0 (6.31%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (9.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Oxford United in this match.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawWatford
37.36% (-0.19600000000001 -0.2) 26.17% (0.050999999999998 0.05) 36.47% (0.14299999999999 0.14)
Both teams to score 53.65% (-0.17299999999999 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.09% (-0.22199999999999 -0.22)50.91% (0.219 0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.21% (-0.197 -0.2)72.79% (0.194 0.19)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.5% (-0.217 -0.22)26.5% (0.214 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.31% (-0.285 -0.28)61.69% (0.282 0.28)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.99% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)27% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.64% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)62.36% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 37.36%
    Watford 36.47%
    Draw 26.17%
Oxford UnitedDrawWatford
1-0 @ 9.5% (0.026 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.26% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-0 @ 6.31% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.66% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-0 @ 2.79% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.39% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.22% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-0 @ 0.93% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 37.36%
1-1 @ 12.44% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 7.16% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.41% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.05% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.17%
0-1 @ 9.37% (0.077000000000002 0.08)
1-2 @ 8.14% (0.013 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.13% (0.047 0.05)
1-3 @ 3.55% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 2.68% (0.019 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.36% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.16%
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 36.47%

How you voted: Oxford Utd vs Watford

Oxford United
32.1%
Draw
10.7%
Watford
57.1%
28
Head to Head
Nov 8, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 15
Watford
1-0
Oxford Utd
Issouf Bayo (54')
Porteous (34'), Baah (38'), Ebosele (62'), Issouf Bayo (75'), Morris (90+3'), Cleverley (90+6')

McEachran (45+1'), Moore (75')
Sep 15, 2020 7pm
Second Round
Oxford Utd
1-1
Watford
(Aggregate 1-1 | Watford win 3-0 on penalties)
Hall (26')
Sema (89')
Navarro (72')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds452813493296497
2Burnley452716266155197
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd452871062352789
4Sunderland4521131158431576
5Bristol City451716125753467
6Coventry CityCoventry45199176258466
7Millwall451812154646066
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn45198185247565
9Middlesbrough4518101764541064
10West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom451419125244861
11Swansea CitySwansea45179194853-560
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds451512185968-957
13Watford45168215260-856
14Norwich CityNorwich451315176766154
15Queens Park RangersQPR451314185263-1153
16Portsmouth451411205770-1353
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd451313194662-1652
18Stoke CityStoke451214194562-1750
19Derby CountyDerby451310224856-849
20Preston North EndPreston451019164657-1149
21Luton TownLuton451310224264-2249
22Hull City451212214353-1048
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth451113215086-3646
24Cardiff CityCardiff45917194669-2344


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!