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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 40.7%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 31.14% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.22%) and 2-0 (7.79%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (10.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Watford | Draw | Millwall |
| 40.7% ( | 28.16% ( | 31.14% ( |
| Both teams to score 46.51% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.53% ( | 59.47% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.17% ( | 79.83% ( |
| Watford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.33% ( | 28.66% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.52% ( | 64.48% ( |
| Millwall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.2% ( | 34.79% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.47% ( | 71.53% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Watford | Draw | Millwall |
| 1-0 @ 12.46% 2-1 @ 8.22% ( 2-0 @ 7.79% ( 3-1 @ 3.42% ( 3-0 @ 3.24% ( 3-2 @ 1.81% ( 4-1 @ 1.07% ( 4-0 @ 1.01% ( Other @ 1.67% Total : 40.69% | 1-1 @ 13.15% ( 0-0 @ 9.97% ( 2-2 @ 4.34% ( Other @ 0.69% Total : 28.15% | 0-1 @ 10.52% ( 1-2 @ 6.94% ( 0-2 @ 5.56% ( 1-3 @ 2.44% ( 0-3 @ 1.96% ( 2-3 @ 1.53% ( Other @ 2.18% Total : 31.13% |