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Championship | Gameweek 36
Mar 8, 2025 at 12.30pm UK
Vicarage Road
Millwall logo

Watford
1 - 2
Millwall

Pollock (30')
FT(HT: 1-0)
De Norre (59'), Coburn (81')
Cundle (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Watford and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stoke 0-0 Watford
Saturday, March 1 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 0-2 Bristol City
Tuesday, March 4 at 7.45pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 40.7%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 31.14% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.22%) and 2-0 (7.79%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (10.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result
WatfordDrawMillwall
40.7% (-0.101 -0.1)28.16% (0.024000000000001 0.02)31.14% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Both teams to score 46.51% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.53% (-0.064 -0.06)59.47% (0.064 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.17% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)79.83% (0.049000000000007 0.05)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.33% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)28.66% (0.087999999999997 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.52% (-0.111 -0.11)64.48% (0.11 0.11)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.2% (0.022999999999996 0.02)34.79% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.47% (0.024000000000001 0.02)71.53% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Watford 40.69%
    Millwall 31.13%
    Draw 28.15%
WatfordDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 12.46%
2-1 @ 8.22% (-0.014999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.79% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.42% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.24% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.81% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.07% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.01% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 40.69%
1-1 @ 13.15% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.97% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.34% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 28.15%
0-1 @ 10.52% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 6.94% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.56% (0.02 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.44% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 1.96% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.53% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 31.13%

How you voted: Watford vs Millwall

Watford
60.0%
Draw
17.8%
Millwall
22.2%
45
Head to Head
Aug 10, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 1
Millwall
2-3
Watford
Watmore (74', 88')
Leonard (55'), Kayembe (86')
Kayembe (22'), Chakvetadze (55'), Rajovic (90')
Sierralta (7'), Bryan (87'), Rajovic (90+1')
Mar 2, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 35
Millwall
1-0
Watford
Flemming (3')
McNamara (45'), Leonard (75'), Flemming (90+1')

Kayembe (1')
Oct 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 14
Watford
2-2
Millwall
Asprilla (7'), Rajovic (90+2')
Livermore (37'), Asprilla (50'), Sema (79')
Flemming (12'), Harding (85')
Flemming (27'), Saville (38'), Norton-Cuffy (90+3')
Dec 26, 2022 12pm
Gameweek 24
Watford
0-2
Millwall
Voglsammer (22'), Flemming (83')
Oct 19, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 16
Millwall
3-0
Watford
Bradshaw (8', 26', 33')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeeds UnitedLeeds4629134953065100
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd462881063362790
5Coventry CityCoventry46209176458669
6Bristol City461717125955468
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn46199185348566
8Millwall461812164749-266
9West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4615191257471064
10Middlesbrough461810186456864
11Swansea CitySwansea461710195156-561
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds461513186069-958
13Norwich CityNorwich461415177168357
14Watford46169215361-857
15Queens Park RangersQPR461414185363-1056
16Portsmouth461412205871-1354
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd461314194965-1653
18Stoke CityStoke461215194562-1751
19Derby CountyDerby461311224856-850
20Preston North EndPreston461020164859-1150
21Hull City461213214454-1049
RLuton TownLuton461310234569-2449
RPlymouth ArgylePlymouth461113225188-3746
RCardiff CityCardiff46917204873-2544


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