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Championship | Gameweek 36
Mar 8, 2025 at 12.30pm UK
Vicarage Road
Millwall logo

Watford
1 - 2
Millwall

Pollock (30')
FT(HT: 1-0)
De Norre (59'), Coburn (81')
Cundle (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Watford and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stoke 0-0 Watford
Saturday, March 1 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 0-2 Bristol City
Tuesday, March 4 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Watford 2-0 Millwall

After winning two of their last three matches, Watford will be looking to collect three more points to aid their playoff bid, and we ultimately believe they will make full use of home advantage to see off Millwall in Saturday's home fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 40.7%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 31.14% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.22%) and 2-0 (7.79%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (10.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result
WatfordDrawMillwall
40.7% (-0.101 -0.1) 28.16% (0.024000000000001 0.02) 31.14% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Both teams to score 46.51% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.53% (-0.064 -0.06)59.47% (0.064 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.17% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)79.83% (0.049000000000007 0.05)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.33% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)28.66% (0.087999999999997 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.52% (-0.111 -0.11)64.48% (0.11 0.11)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.2% (0.022999999999996 0.02)34.79% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.47% (0.024000000000001 0.02)71.53% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Watford 40.69%
    Millwall 31.13%
    Draw 28.15%
WatfordDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 12.46%
2-1 @ 8.22% (-0.014999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.79% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.42% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.24% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.81% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.07% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.01% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 40.69%
1-1 @ 13.15% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.97% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.34% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 28.15%
0-1 @ 10.52% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 6.94% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.56% (0.02 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.44% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 1.96% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.53% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 31.13%

How you voted: Watford vs Millwall

Watford
60.0%
Draw
17.8%
Millwall
22.2%
45
Head to Head
Aug 10, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 1
Millwall
2-3
Watford
Watmore (74', 88')
Leonard (55'), Kayembe (86')
Kayembe (22'), Chakvetadze (55'), Rajovic (90')
Sierralta (7'), Bryan (87'), Rajovic (90+1')
Mar 2, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 35
Millwall
1-0
Watford
Flemming (3')
McNamara (45'), Leonard (75'), Flemming (90+1')

Kayembe (1')
Oct 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 14
Watford
2-2
Millwall
Asprilla (7'), Rajovic (90+2')
Livermore (37'), Asprilla (50'), Sema (79')
Flemming (12'), Harding (85')
Flemming (27'), Saville (38'), Norton-Cuffy (90+3')
Dec 26, 2022 12pm
Gameweek 24
Watford
0-2
Millwall
Voglsammer (22'), Flemming (83')
Oct 19, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 16
Millwall
3-0
Watford
Bradshaw (8', 26', 33')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds452813493296497
2Burnley452716266155197
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd452871062352789
4Sunderland4521131158431576
5Bristol City451716125753467
6Coventry CityCoventry45199176258466
7Millwall451812154646066
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn45198185247565
9Middlesbrough4518101764541064
10West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom451419125244861
11Swansea CitySwansea45179194853-560
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds451512185968-957
13Watford45168215260-856
14Norwich CityNorwich451315176766154
15Queens Park RangersQPR451314185263-1153
16Portsmouth451411205770-1353
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd451313194662-1652
18Stoke CityStoke451214194562-1750
19Derby CountyDerby451310224856-849
20Preston North EndPreston451019164657-1149
21Luton TownLuton451310224264-2249
22Hull City451212214353-1048
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth451113215086-3646
24Cardiff CityCardiff45917194669-2344


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