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Championship | Gameweek 33
Feb 15, 2025 at 3pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Watford logo

Middlesbrough
0 - 1
Watford


Ayling (47'), Forss (83')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Sissoko (40')
Chakvetadze (65'), Selvik (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sheff Utd 3-1 Middlesbrough
Wednesday, February 12 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 0-4 Leeds
Tuesday, February 11 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Middlesbrough 2-2 Watford

Middlesbrough and Watford will both be low on confidence after finding wins hard to come by in recent times, and with that in mind we can envisage the two sides playing out a score draw in Saturday's clash at the Riverside. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 56.56%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Watford had a probability of 20.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.9%) and 2-0 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.59%), while for a Watford win it was 0-1 (5.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawWatford
56.56% (-0.553 -0.55) 22.46% (0.145 0.15) 20.97% (0.409 0.41)
Both teams to score 54.96% (0.146 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.84% (-0.108 -0.11)44.15% (0.108 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.46% (-0.105 -0.1)66.53% (0.10599999999999 0.11)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.59% (-0.21900000000001 -0.22)15.41% (0.22 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.76% (-0.415 -0.41)44.23% (0.415 0.41)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.97% (0.339 0.34)35.03% (-0.339 -0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.23% (0.354 0.35)71.77% (-0.352 -0.35)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 56.56%
    Watford 20.97%
    Draw 22.46%
MiddlesbroughDrawWatford
1-0 @ 10.09% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.9% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.44% (-0.101 -0.1)
3-1 @ 6.17% (-0.055 -0.05)
3-0 @ 5.88% (-0.108 -0.11)
3-2 @ 3.24% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.89% (-0.048 -0.05)
4-0 @ 2.75% (-0.072 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1.51% (-0.011 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.08% (-0.027 -0.03)
5-0 @ 1.03% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 56.56%
1-1 @ 10.59% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 5.4% (0.025 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.19% (0.041 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.13% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.46%
0-1 @ 5.66% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
1-2 @ 5.56% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
0-2 @ 2.97% (0.068 0.07)
1-3 @ 1.94% (0.048 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.82% (0.03 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.04% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 20.97%

How you voted: Middlesbrough vs Watford

Middlesbrough
70.8%
Draw
12.5%
Watford
16.7%
24
Head to Head
Oct 5, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 9
Watford
2-1
Middlesbrough
Kayembe (76'), Baah (87')
Cleverley (24'), Porteous (88'), Chakvetadze (90+5'), Baah (90+1')
Edmundson (54')
Hackney (23')
May 4, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 46
Middlesbrough
3-1
Watford
Latte Lath (28'), Bangura (78'), Jones (84')
Azaz (33')
Hoedt (73')
Pollock (20')
Sep 30, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 9
Watford
2-3
Middlesbrough
Issouf Bayo (19'), Hoedt (52')
Porteous (40'), Sierralta (55')
McGree (5', 12'), Coburn (63')
Jan 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 29
Middlesbrough
2-0
Watford
Akpom (36'), Forss (45+3')
Aug 30, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 7
Watford
2-1
Middlesbrough
Sarr (24'), Issouf Bayo (90+3')
Sierralta (61'), Choudhury (90+2')
Muniz (4')
Crooks (38'), Jones (82'), McNair (87'), McGree (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeeds UnitedLeeds4629134953065100
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd462881063362790
4Sunderland4621131258441476
5Coventry CityCoventry46209176458669
6Bristol City461717125955468
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn46199185348566
8Millwall461812164749-266
9West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4615191257471064
10Middlesbrough461810186456864
11Swansea CitySwansea461710195156-561
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds461513186069-958
13Norwich CityNorwich461415177168357
14Watford46169215361-857
15Queens Park RangersQPR461414185363-1056
16Portsmouth461412205871-1354
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd461314194965-1653
18Stoke CityStoke461215194562-1751
19Derby CountyDerby461311224856-850
20Preston North EndPreston461020164859-1150
21Hull City461213214454-1049
RLuton TownLuton461310234569-2449
RPlymouth ArgylePlymouth461113225188-3746
RCardiff CityCardiff46917204873-2544


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