

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 59.06%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Watford had a probability of 19.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.94%) and 2-0 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.17%), while for a Watford win it was 1-2 (5.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Coventry City in this match.
| Result | ||
| Coventry City | Draw | Watford | 
| 59.06% (  -0.46) | 21.63% (  0.33) | 19.3% (  0.13) | 
| Both teams to score 55.01% (  -0.91) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 57.22% (  -1.31) | 42.77% (  1.31) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 34.82% (  -1.32) | 65.17% (  1.31) | 
| Coventry City Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 85.85% (  -0.57) | 14.14% (  0.57) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 58.19% (  -1.13) | 41.8% (  1.13) | 
| Watford Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 64.07% (  -0.63) | 35.92% (  0.63) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.3% (  -0.65) | 72.7% (  0.65) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Coventry City | Draw | Watford | 
| 2-1 @ 9.95% (  0) 1-0 @ 9.94% (  0.37) 2-0 @ 9.72% (  0.16) 3-1 @ 6.49% (  -0.14) 3-0 @ 6.34% (  -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.32% (  -0.13) 4-1 @ 3.17% (  -0.14) 4-0 @ 3.1% (  -0.08) 4-2 @ 1.62% (  -0.1) 5-1 @ 1.24% (  -0.08) 5-0 @ 1.21% (  -0.06) Other @ 2.96% Total : 59.06% | 1-1 @ 10.17% (  0.21) 2-2 @ 5.09% (  -0.09) 0-0 @ 5.08% (  0.29) 3-3 @ 1.13% (  -0.06) Other @ 0.15% Total : 21.63% | 1-2 @ 5.21% (  0.02) 0-1 @ 5.2% (  0.21) 0-2 @ 2.66% (  0.06) 1-3 @ 1.78% (  -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.74% (  -0.06) 0-3 @ 0.91% (  0.01) Other @ 1.81% Total : 19.3% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 46 | 29 | 13 | 4 | 95 | 30 | 65 | 100 | 
| P | Burnley | 46 | 28 | 16 | 2 | 69 | 16 | 53 | 100 | 
| 3 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 46 | 28 | 8 | 10 | 63 | 36 | 27 | 90 | 
| 4 | Sunderland | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 58 | 44 | 14 | 76 | 
| 5 | Coventry CityCoventry | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 64 | 58 | 6 | 69 | 
| 6 | Bristol City | 46 | 17 | 17 | 12 | 59 | 55 | 4 | 68 | 
| 7 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 46 | 19 | 9 | 18 | 53 | 48 | 5 | 66 | 
| 8 | Millwall | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 47 | 49 | -2 | 66 | 
| 9 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 46 | 15 | 19 | 12 | 57 | 47 | 10 | 64 | 
| 10 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 18 | 10 | 18 | 64 | 56 | 8 | 64 | 
| 11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 46 | 17 | 10 | 19 | 51 | 56 | -5 | 61 | 
| 12 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 46 | 15 | 13 | 18 | 60 | 69 | -9 | 58 | 
| 13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 46 | 14 | 15 | 17 | 71 | 68 | 3 | 57 | 
| 14 | Watford | 46 | 16 | 9 | 21 | 53 | 61 | -8 | 57 | 
| 15 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 53 | 63 | -10 | 56 | 
| 16 | Portsmouth | 46 | 14 | 12 | 20 | 58 | 71 | -13 | 54 | 
| 17 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 49 | 65 | -16 | 53 | 
| 18 | Stoke CityStoke | 46 | 12 | 15 | 19 | 45 | 62 | -17 | 51 | 
| 19 | Derby CountyDerby | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 48 | 56 | -8 | 50 | 
| 20 | Preston North EndPreston | 46 | 10 | 20 | 16 | 48 | 59 | -11 | 50 | 
| 21 | Hull City | 46 | 12 | 13 | 21 | 44 | 54 | -10 | 49 | 
| R | Luton TownLuton | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 45 | 69 | -24 | 49 | 
| R | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 46 | 11 | 13 | 22 | 51 | 88 | -37 | 46 | 
| R | Cardiff CityCardiff | 46 | 9 | 17 | 20 | 48 | 73 | -25 | 44 | 
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