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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queens Park Rangers win with a probability of 41.07%. A win for Watford had a probability of 33.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queens Park Rangers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (8.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Queens Park Rangers would win this match.
Result | ||
Queens Park Rangers | Draw | Watford |
41.07% (![]() | 25.88% (![]() | 33.04% (![]() |
Both teams to score 54.05% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.85% (![]() | 50.15% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.88% (![]() | 72.12% (![]() |
Queens Park Rangers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.84% (![]() | 24.15% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.53% (![]() | 58.47% (![]() |
Watford Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.27% (![]() | 28.73% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.43% (![]() | 64.57% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Queens Park Rangers | Draw | Watford |
1-0 @ 9.86% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.74% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.14% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.32% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.58% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.47% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.18% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 0.92% ( ![]() Other @ 1.88% Total : 41.08% | 1-1 @ 12.29% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.94% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.45% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.07% ( ![]() Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.88% | 0-1 @ 8.66% (![]() 1-2 @ 7.67% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.4% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.19% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.26% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.24% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 0.99% ( ![]() Other @ 2.63% Total : 33.04% |