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Championship | Gameweek 25
Jan 1, 2025 at 12.30pm UK
Kiyan Prince Foundation Stadium
Watford logo

QPR
3 - 1
Watford

Frey (5'), Dunne (37'), Field (56')
Frey (31'), Fox (47'), Field (83'), Smyth (86')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Baah (55')
Bachmann (38'), Kayembe (70'), Chakvetadze (82'), Ebosele (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Queens Park Rangers and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Norwich 1-1 QPR
Sunday, December 29 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 1-2 Cardiff
Sunday, December 29 at 3pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queens Park Rangers win with a probability of 41.07%. A win for Watford had a probability of 33.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Queens Park Rangers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (8.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Queens Park Rangers would win this match.

Result
Queens Park RangersDrawWatford
41.07% (0.654 0.65)25.88% (0.066000000000003 0.07)33.04% (-0.717 -0.72)
Both teams to score 54.05% (-0.415 -0.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.85% (-0.449 -0.45)50.15% (0.453 0.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.88% (-0.402 -0.4)72.12% (0.40600000000001 0.41)
Queens Park Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.84% (0.13300000000001 0.13)24.15% (-0.13 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.53% (0.187 0.19)58.47% (-0.183 -0.18)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.27% (-0.673 -0.67)28.73% (0.677 0.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.43% (-0.847 -0.85)64.57% (0.851 0.85)
Score Analysis
    Queens Park Rangers 41.08%
    Watford 33.04%
    Draw 25.88%
Queens Park RangersDrawWatford
1-0 @ 9.86% (0.217 0.22)
2-1 @ 8.74% (0.061999999999999 0.06)
2-0 @ 7% (0.18 0.18)
3-1 @ 4.14% (0.045 0.04)
3-0 @ 3.32% (0.097 0.1)
3-2 @ 2.58% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.47% (0.021 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.18% (0.039 0.04)
4-2 @ 0.92% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 41.08%
1-1 @ 12.29% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 6.94% (0.127 0.13)
2-2 @ 5.45% (-0.065 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.07% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.88%
0-1 @ 8.66% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
1-2 @ 7.67% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-2 @ 5.4% (-0.106 -0.11)
1-3 @ 3.19% (-0.112 -0.11)
2-3 @ 2.26% (-0.071 -0.07)
0-3 @ 2.24% (-0.087 -0.09)
1-4 @ 0.99% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 33.04%

How you voted: QPR vs Watford

Queens Park Rangers
54.1%
Draw
29.7%
Watford
16.2%
74
Head to Head
Nov 30, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 18
Watford
0-0
QPR
Sierralta (34'), Pollock (54')
Madsen (2'), Smyth (57'), Field (88')
Jan 14, 2024 12pm
Gameweek 1
QPR
1-2
Watford
Dykes (77')
Field (5'), Paal (23'), Colback (39')
Livermore (60', 65')
Livermore (20'), Hoedt (45'), Dele-Bashiru (49')
Aug 5, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 27
Watford
4-0
QPR
Dele-Bashiru (1'), Louza (20'), Martins (38'), Issouf Bayo (43')
Morris (45+1')

Armstrong (67'), Field (76')
Mar 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 36
QPR
1-0
Watford
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 6
Watford
2-3
QPR

Kamara (84'), Kabasele (90')
Adomah (70')
Dieng (81'), Dozzell (85')