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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queens Park Rangers win with a probability of 41.07%. A win for Watford had a probability of 33.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queens Park Rangers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (8.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Queens Park Rangers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Queens Park Rangers | Draw | Watford | 
| 41.07% (  0.65) | 25.88% (  0.07) | 33.04% (  -0.72) | 
| Both teams to score 54.05% (  -0.41) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 49.85% (  -0.45) | 50.15% (  0.45) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 27.88% (  -0.4) | 72.12% (  0.41) | 
| Queens Park Rangers Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 75.84% (  0.13) | 24.15% (  -0.13) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.53% (  0.19) | 58.47% (  -0.18) | 
| Watford Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 71.27% (  -0.67) | 28.73% (  0.68) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.43% (  -0.85) | 64.57% (  0.85) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Queens Park Rangers | Draw | Watford | 
| 1-0 @ 9.86% (  0.22) 2-1 @ 8.74% (  0.06) 2-0 @ 7% (  0.18) 3-1 @ 4.14% (  0.04) 3-0 @ 3.32% (  0.1) 3-2 @ 2.58% (  -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.47% (  0.02) 4-0 @ 1.18% (  0.04) 4-2 @ 0.92% (  -0) Other @ 1.88% Total : 41.08% | 1-1 @ 12.29% (  0.04) 0-0 @ 6.94% (  0.13) 2-2 @ 5.45% (  -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.07% (  -0.03) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.88% | 0-1 @ 8.66% (  -0) 1-2 @ 7.67% (  -0.12) 0-2 @ 5.4% (  -0.11) 1-3 @ 3.19% (  -0.11) 2-3 @ 2.26% (  -0.07) 0-3 @ 2.24% (  -0.09) 1-4 @ 0.99% (  -0.05) Other @ 2.63% Total : 33.04% |