Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queens Park Rangers win with a probability of 37.27%. A win for Watford had a probability of 35.15% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Queens Park Rangers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (10.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Queens Park Rangers in this match.