Blackburn logo
Blackburn logo
Bristol City
Bristol City
Burnley logo
Burnley logo
Cardiff City logo
Cardiff City logo
Coventry City
Coventry City
Derby logo
Derby logo
Hull logo
Hull logo
Leeds logo
Leeds logo
Luton Town
Luton Town
Middlesbrough logo
Middlesbrough logo
Millwall logo
Millwall logo
Norwich logo
Norwich logo
Oxford United
Oxford United
Plymouth Argyle
Plymouth Argyle
Portsmouth
Portsmouth
Preston North End logo
Preston North End logo
QPR logo
QPR logo
Sheffield United logo
Sheffield United logo
Sheffield Wednesday logo
Sheffield Wednesday logo
Stoke logo
Stoke logo
Sunderland
Sunderland
Swansea logo
Swansea logo
Watford logo
Watford logo
West Brom logo
West Brom logo
Middlesbrough logo
Championship | Gameweek 28
Jan 21, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Riverside Stadium
West Brom logo

Middlesbrough
2 - 0
West Brom

Hackney (29'), Doak (83')
Fry (79')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and West Bromwich Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 49.13%. A win for West Bromwich Albion had a probability of 26.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (8.61%). The likeliest West Bromwich Albion win was 0-1 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawWest Bromwich Albion
49.13% (-0.393 -0.39)24.82% (0.044999999999998 0.04)26.04% (0.342 0.34)
Both teams to score 53.35% (0.16 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.83% (0.060000000000002 0.06)49.16% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.76% (0.053000000000001 0.05)71.23% (-0.058000000000007 -0.06)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.96% (-0.13799999999999 -0.14)20.04% (0.135 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.74% (-0.223 -0.22)52.25% (0.218 0.22)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.72% (0.312 0.31)33.27% (-0.316 -0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.11% (0.341 0.34)69.88% (-0.345 -0.34)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 49.12%
    West Bromwich Albion 26.04%
    Draw 24.82%
MiddlesbroughDrawWest Bromwich Albion
1-0 @ 10.71% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
2-1 @ 9.48% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.61% (-0.096 -0.1)
3-1 @ 5.08% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.62% (-0.071000000000001 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.8% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 2.04% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.86% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.12% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 49.12%
1-1 @ 11.79% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.67% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.22% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.03% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.82%
0-1 @ 7.34% (0.043 0.04)
1-2 @ 6.49% (0.067 0.07)
0-2 @ 4.04% (0.058 0.06)
1-3 @ 2.38% (0.045 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.91% (0.028 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.48% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 26.04%

How you voted: Middlesbrough vs West Brom

Middlesbrough
45.3%
Draw
34.0%
West Bromwich Albion
20.8%
53
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 8
West Brom
0-1
Middlesbrough

Mowatt (34'), Racic (59')
Hackney (74')
Jones (90+6')
Dec 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 23
Middlesbrough
1-0
West Brom
Rogers (40')
Howson (52')

Kipre (15'), Furlong (65')
Aug 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 4
West Brom
4-2
Middlesbrough
Kipre (22'), Swift (28'), Thomas-Asante (47'), Sarmiento (90+1')
Ajayi (74'), Sarmiento (90+5')
Latte Lath (29'), Forss (85' pen.)
Smith (32'), Rogers (44')
Smith (51')
Feb 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 34
West Brom
2-0
Middlesbrough
Dike (8', 10')
Jul 30, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 1
Middlesbrough
1-1
West Brom
Jones (10')
Howson (40'), Bola (59')
Swift (51')
Bruce (59'), Swift (61')