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Championship | Gameweek 28
Jan 21, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Riverside Stadium
West Brom logo

Middlesbrough
2 - 0
West Brom

Hackney (29'), Doak (83')
Fry (79')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and West Bromwich Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Portsmouth 2-1 Middlesbrough
Saturday, January 18 at 3.35pm in Championship
Last Game: West Brom 1-1 Stoke
Saturday, January 18 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Middlesbrough 2-2 West Bromwich Albion

Neither side are in strong form, and it would not be surprising if both conceded multiple chances on Tuesday. West Brom might be buoyed by the return of Mowbray and may start better than Middlesbrough, but the hosts should have enough to get back into the contest considering they have often found ways to draw matches and avoid defeat in recent weeks. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 49.13%. A win for West Bromwich Albion had a probability of 26.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (8.61%). The likeliest West Bromwich Albion win was 0-1 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawWest Bromwich Albion
49.13% (-0.393 -0.39) 24.82% (0.044999999999998 0.04) 26.04% (0.342 0.34)
Both teams to score 53.35% (0.16 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.83% (0.060000000000002 0.06)49.16% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.76% (0.053000000000001 0.05)71.23% (-0.058000000000007 -0.06)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.96% (-0.13799999999999 -0.14)20.04% (0.135 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.74% (-0.223 -0.22)52.25% (0.218 0.22)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.72% (0.312 0.31)33.27% (-0.316 -0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.11% (0.341 0.34)69.88% (-0.345 -0.34)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 49.12%
    West Bromwich Albion 26.04%
    Draw 24.82%
MiddlesbroughDrawWest Bromwich Albion
1-0 @ 10.71% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
2-1 @ 9.48% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.61% (-0.096 -0.1)
3-1 @ 5.08% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.62% (-0.071000000000001 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.8% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 2.04% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.86% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.12% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 49.12%
1-1 @ 11.79% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.67% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.22% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.03% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.82%
0-1 @ 7.34% (0.043 0.04)
1-2 @ 6.49% (0.067 0.07)
0-2 @ 4.04% (0.058 0.06)
1-3 @ 2.38% (0.045 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.91% (0.028 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.48% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 26.04%

How you voted: Middlesbrough vs West Brom

Middlesbrough
45.3%
Draw
34.0%
West Bromwich Albion
20.8%
53
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 8
West Brom
0-1
Middlesbrough

Mowatt (34'), Racic (59')
Hackney (74')
Jones (90+6')
Dec 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 23
Middlesbrough
1-0
West Brom
Rogers (40')
Howson (52')

Kipre (15'), Furlong (65')
Aug 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 4
West Brom
4-2
Middlesbrough
Kipre (22'), Swift (28'), Thomas-Asante (47'), Sarmiento (90+1')
Ajayi (74'), Sarmiento (90+5')
Latte Lath (29'), Forss (85' pen.)
Smith (32'), Rogers (44')
Smith (51')
Feb 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 34
West Brom
2-0
Middlesbrough
Dike (8', 10')
Jul 30, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 1
Middlesbrough
1-1
West Brom
Jones (10')
Howson (40'), Bola (59')
Swift (51')
Bruce (59'), Swift (61')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds452813493296497
2Burnley452716266155197
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd452871062352789
4Sunderland4521131158431576
5Bristol City451716125753467
6Coventry CityCoventry45199176258466
7Millwall451812154646066
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn45198185247565
9Middlesbrough4518101764541064
10West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom451419125244861
11Swansea CitySwansea45179194853-560
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds451512185968-957
13Watford45168215260-856
14Norwich CityNorwich451315176766154
15Queens Park RangersQPR451314185263-1153
16Portsmouth451411205770-1353
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd451313194662-1652
18Stoke CityStoke451214194562-1750
19Derby CountyDerby451310224856-849
20Preston North EndPreston451019164657-1149
21Luton TownLuton451310224264-2249
22Hull City451212214353-1048
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth451113215086-3646
24Cardiff CityCardiff45917194669-2344


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