MX23RW : Monday, May 19 00:13:31| >> :120:45094:45094:
Bournemouth logo
FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 11, 2025 at 3pm UK
Vitality Stadium
West Brom logo

Bournemouth
5 - 1
West Brom

Kluivert (27'), Ouattara (34', 44'), Semenyo (47'), Jebbison (90+2')
Semenyo (60')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Taylor (14')
Holgate (18'), Taylor (45+1'), Furlong (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Bournemouth and West Bromwich Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bournemouth 1-0 Everton
Saturday, January 4 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Swansea 1-1 West Brom
Saturday, January 4 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Bournemouth 2-0 West Bromwich Albion

With a raft of first-team players sidelined due to injury, Bournemouth are unlikely to cruise to third-round progression at the Vitality, especially if Iraola opts to rotate his XI. West Brom have continued to be solid without Corberan barking orders from the touchline, although we feel that their Premier League opponents will be too strong on the South Coast. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 42.18%. A win for West Bromwich Albion had a probability of 32.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest West Bromwich Albion win was 0-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bournemouth would win this match.

Result
BournemouthDrawWest Bromwich Albion
42.18% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01) 25.52% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02) 32.3% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Both teams to score 55.01% (0.061999999999998 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.19% (0.077999999999996 0.08)48.8% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.09% (0.07 0.07)70.9% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Bournemouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.99% (0.025000000000006 0.03)23.01% (-0.026 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.18% (0.039000000000001 0.04)56.81% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.45% (0.057999999999993 0.06)28.55% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.66% (0.073999999999998 0.07)64.33% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Bournemouth 42.18%
    West Bromwich Albion 32.3%
    Draw 25.51%
BournemouthDrawWest Bromwich Albion
1-0 @ 9.65% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.89%
2-0 @ 7.09% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.35% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-0 @ 3.47% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.73% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.6% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 1.28%
4-2 @ 1% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 42.18%
1-1 @ 12.09% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.57% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.57% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.14% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.51%
0-1 @ 8.23% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.58% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.16% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 3.17% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.33% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.16% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 0.99% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 32.3%

How you voted: Bournemouth vs West Brom

Bournemouth
88.7%
West Bromwich Albion
11.3%
53
Head to Head
Apr 6, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 30
West Brom
2-0
Bournemouth
Mowatt (8'), Carroll (12')
Furlong (56'), Bartley (83'), Johnstone (84')

Zemura (45+2'), Kelly (52'), Solanke (83')
Aug 6, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
Bournemouth
2-2
West Brom
Marcondes (12'), Billing (52')
Mepham (20')
O'Shea (33'), Robinson (67')
Bartley (60'), Mowatt (80'), Livermore (86')
Jul 26, 2019 8pm
Pre-season Friendlies
West Brom
0-0
Bournemouth
Mar 17, 2018 3pm
Aug 12, 2017 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLiverpool36258383374683
2Arsenal371914467333471
3Newcastle UnitedNewcastle372061168462266
4Chelsea37199963432066
5Aston Villa3719995849966
6Manchester CityMan City36198967432465
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest371981058451365
8Brentford37167146556955
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton36141395956355
10Fulham37159135452254
11Bournemouth3614111155431253
12Crystal Palace361213114648-249
13Everton371015124144-345
14Wolverhampton WanderersWolves36125195164-1341
15West Ham UnitedWest Ham371010174361-1840
16Manchester UnitedMan Utd37109184254-1239
17Tottenham HotspurSpurs37115216361238
RLeicester CityLeicester3767243378-4525
RIpswich TownIpswich37410233579-4422
RSouthampton3726292584-5912


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