MX23RW : Monday, March 31 07:36:20| >> :120:39604:39604:
Bournemouth logo
FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 11, 2025 at 3pm UK
Vitality Stadium
West Brom logo

Bournemouth
5 - 1
West Brom

Kluivert (27'), Ouattara (34', 44'), Semenyo (47'), Jebbison (90+2')
Semenyo (60')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Taylor (14')
Holgate (18'), Taylor (45+1'), Furlong (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Bournemouth and West Bromwich Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bournemouth 1-0 Everton
Saturday, January 4 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Swansea 1-1 West Brom
Saturday, January 4 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Bournemouth 2-0 West Bromwich Albion

With a raft of first-team players sidelined due to injury, Bournemouth are unlikely to cruise to third-round progression at the Vitality, especially if Iraola opts to rotate his XI. West Brom have continued to be solid without Corberan barking orders from the touchline, although we feel that their Premier League opponents will be too strong on the South Coast. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 42.18%. A win for West Bromwich Albion had a probability of 32.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest West Bromwich Albion win was 0-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bournemouth would win this match.

Result
BournemouthDrawWest Bromwich Albion
42.18% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01) 25.52% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02) 32.3% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Both teams to score 55.01% (0.061999999999998 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.19% (0.077999999999996 0.08)48.8% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.09% (0.07 0.07)70.9% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Bournemouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.99% (0.025000000000006 0.03)23.01% (-0.026 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.18% (0.039000000000001 0.04)56.81% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.45% (0.057999999999993 0.06)28.55% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.66% (0.073999999999998 0.07)64.33% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Bournemouth 42.18%
    West Bromwich Albion 32.3%
    Draw 25.51%
BournemouthDrawWest Bromwich Albion
1-0 @ 9.65% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.89%
2-0 @ 7.09% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.35% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-0 @ 3.47% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.73% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.6% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 1.28%
4-2 @ 1% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 42.18%
1-1 @ 12.09% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.57% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.57% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.14% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.51%
0-1 @ 8.23% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.58% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.16% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 3.17% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.33% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.16% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 0.99% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 32.3%

How you voted: Bournemouth vs West Brom

Bournemouth
88.7%
West Bromwich Albion
11.3%
53
Head to Head
Apr 6, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 30
West Brom
2-0
Bournemouth
Mowatt (8'), Carroll (12')
Furlong (56'), Bartley (83'), Johnstone (84')

Zemura (45+2'), Kelly (52'), Solanke (83')
Aug 6, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
Bournemouth
2-2
West Brom
Marcondes (12'), Billing (52')
Mepham (20')
O'Shea (33'), Robinson (67')
Bartley (60'), Mowatt (80'), Livermore (86')
Jul 26, 2019 8pm
Pre-season Friendlies
West Brom
0-0
Bournemouth
Mar 17, 2018 3pm
Aug 12, 2017 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool29217169274270
2Arsenal291610353242958
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest29166749351454
4Chelsea29147853371649
5Manchester CityMan City29146955401548
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle2814594738947
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton29121164842647
8Fulham2912984338545
9Aston Villa2912984145-445
10Bournemouth29128948361244
11Brentford29125125045541
12Crystal Palace2810993633339
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd29107123740-337
14Tottenham HotspurSpurs291041555431234
15Everton2971393236-434
16West Ham UnitedWest Ham2997133349-1634
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2975174058-1826
18Ipswich TownIpswich2938182862-3417
19Leicester CityLeicester2945202565-4017
20Southampton2923242170-499


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