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Portsmouth
Championship | Gameweek 27
Jan 18, 2025 at 3.35pm UK
Fratton Park
Middlesbrough logo

Portsmouth
2 - 1
Middlesbrough

Ritchie (54', 82')
Ritchie (40')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Latte Lath (30')
Doak (24'), Edmundson (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Portsmouth and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Blackburn 3-0 Portsmouth
Wednesday, January 15 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Portsmouth 1-2 Middlesbrough

While Portsmouth may have fared well in recent home outings, they will be aware of the tough test that awaits them on Saturday, and we think that Middlesbrough will have the extra quality required to condemn Pompey to their first home defeat since October. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 49.8%. A win for Portsmouth had a probability of 26.44% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.33%) and 0-2 (8.04%). The likeliest Portsmouth win was 2-1 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result
PortsmouthDrawMiddlesbrough
26.44% (0.042000000000002 0.04) 23.75% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 49.8% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Both teams to score 57.22% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.77% (0.112 0.11)44.23% (-0.11300000000001 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.39% (0.11000000000001 0.11)66.6% (-0.11 -0.11)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.66% (0.093000000000004 0.09)30.34% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.47% (0.111 0.11)66.52% (-0.111 -0.11)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.15% (0.033000000000001 0.03)17.85% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.39% (0.055 0.05)48.61% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Portsmouth 26.44%
    Middlesbrough 49.81%
    Draw 23.75%
PortsmouthDrawMiddlesbrough
2-1 @ 6.64% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-0 @ 6.46% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 3.85% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 2.64% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.27% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.53% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 26.44%
1-1 @ 11.13% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.72% (0.013 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.42% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.31% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.75%
1-2 @ 9.59% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-1 @ 9.33% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
0-2 @ 8.04% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-3 @ 5.51% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-3 @ 4.62% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.29% (0.011 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.37% (0.004 0)
0-4 @ 1.99% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 1.42% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 49.81%

How you voted: Portsmouth vs Middlesbrough

Portsmouth
16.7%
Draw
19.4%
Middlesbrough
63.9%
36
Head to Head
Aug 24, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 3
Middlesbrough
2-2
Portsmouth
Clarke (11'), Conway (90' pen.)
Saydee (2', 25')
Towler (42'), Saydee (43'), Blair (54'), Norris (57'), Williams (80')
Mar 3, 2012 3pm
Portsmouth
1-3
Middlesbrough
Halford (66' pen.)
Ben Haim (45'), Halford (55'), Rocha (55'), Ward (61'), Norris (69')
Bates (63'), Robson (56' pen.)
Bates (31'), Williams (45'), Robson (66')
Williams (90')
Aug 6, 2011 3pm
Middlesbrough
2-2
Portsmouth
Williams (54'), Emnes (24')
McDonald (56'), Williams (71')
Norris (47'), Varney (90')
Ben Haim (56'), Halford (56'), Ward (74'), Mokoena (76')
Mar 12, 2011 3pm
Oct 2, 2010 3pm
Middlesbrough
2-2
Portsmouth
Bates (29'), Robson (42' pen.)
Bates (56'), McMahon (88')
Robson (86')
Lawrence (88' pen.), Nugent (60')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds452813493296497
2Burnley452716266155197
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd452871062352789
4Sunderland4521131158431576
5Bristol City451716125753467
6Coventry CityCoventry45199176258466
7Millwall451812154646066
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn45198185247565
9Middlesbrough4518101764541064
10West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom451419125244861
11Swansea CitySwansea45179194853-560
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds451512185968-957
13Watford45168215260-856
14Norwich CityNorwich451315176766154
15Queens Park RangersQPR451314185263-1153
16Portsmouth451411205770-1353
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd451313194662-1652
18Stoke CityStoke451214194562-1750
19Derby CountyDerby451310224856-849
20Preston North EndPreston451019164657-1149
21Luton TownLuton451310224264-2249
22Hull City451212214353-1048
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth451113215086-3646
24Cardiff CityCardiff45917194669-2344


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