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Portsmouth
Championship | Gameweek 27
Jan 18, 2025 at 3.35pm UK
Fratton Park
Middlesbrough logo

Portsmouth
2 - 1
Middlesbrough

Ritchie (54', 82')
Ritchie (40')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Latte Lath (30')
Doak (24'), Edmundson (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Portsmouth and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Blackburn 3-0 Portsmouth
Wednesday, January 15 at 7.45pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 49.8%. A win for Portsmouth had a probability of 26.44% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.33%) and 0-2 (8.04%). The likeliest Portsmouth win was 2-1 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result
PortsmouthDrawMiddlesbrough
26.44% (0.042000000000002 0.04)23.75% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)49.8% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Both teams to score 57.22% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.77% (0.112 0.11)44.23% (-0.11300000000001 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.39% (0.11000000000001 0.11)66.6% (-0.11 -0.11)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.66% (0.093000000000004 0.09)30.34% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.47% (0.111 0.11)66.52% (-0.111 -0.11)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.15% (0.033000000000001 0.03)17.85% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.39% (0.055 0.05)48.61% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Portsmouth 26.44%
    Middlesbrough 49.81%
    Draw 23.75%
PortsmouthDrawMiddlesbrough
2-1 @ 6.64% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-0 @ 6.46% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 3.85% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 2.64% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.27% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.53% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 26.44%
1-1 @ 11.13% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.72% (0.013 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.42% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.31% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.75%
1-2 @ 9.59% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-1 @ 9.33% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
0-2 @ 8.04% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-3 @ 5.51% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-3 @ 4.62% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.29% (0.011 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.37% (0.004 0)
0-4 @ 1.99% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 1.42% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 49.81%

How you voted: Portsmouth vs Middlesbrough

Portsmouth
16.7%
Draw
19.4%
Middlesbrough
63.9%
36
Head to Head
Aug 24, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 3
Middlesbrough
2-2
Portsmouth
Clarke (11'), Conway (90' pen.)
Saydee (2', 25')
Towler (42'), Saydee (43'), Blair (54'), Norris (57'), Williams (80')
Mar 3, 2012 3pm
Portsmouth
1-3
Middlesbrough
Halford (66' pen.)
Ben Haim (45'), Halford (55'), Rocha (55'), Ward (61'), Norris (69')
Bates (63'), Robson (56' pen.)
Bates (31'), Williams (45'), Robson (66')
Williams (90')
Aug 6, 2011 3pm
Middlesbrough
2-2
Portsmouth
Williams (54'), Emnes (24')
McDonald (56'), Williams (71')
Norris (47'), Varney (90')
Ben Haim (56'), Halford (56'), Ward (74'), Mokoena (76')
Mar 12, 2011 3pm
Oct 2, 2010 3pm
Middlesbrough
2-2
Portsmouth
Bates (29'), Robson (42' pen.)
Bates (56'), McMahon (88')
Robson (86')
Lawrence (88' pen.), Nugent (60')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeeds UnitedLeeds4629134953065100
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd462881063362790
5Coventry CityCoventry46209176458669
6Bristol City461717125955468
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn46199185348566
8Millwall461812164749-266
9West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4615191257471064
10Middlesbrough461810186456864
11Swansea CitySwansea461710195156-561
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds461513186069-958
13Norwich CityNorwich461415177168357
14Watford46169215361-857
15Queens Park RangersQPR461414185363-1056
16Portsmouth461412205871-1354
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd461314194965-1653
18Stoke CityStoke461215194562-1751
19Derby CountyDerby461311224856-850
20Preston North EndPreston461020164859-1150
21Hull City461213214454-1049
RLuton TownLuton461310234569-2449
RPlymouth ArgylePlymouth461113225188-3746
RCardiff CityCardiff46917204873-2544


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