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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 59.68%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Portsmouth had a probability of 17.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.08%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.71%), while for a Portsmouth win it was 0-1 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sunderland in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Sunderland.
| Result | ||
| Sunderland | Draw | Portsmouth |
| 59.68% ( | 22.54% ( | 17.78% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.3% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.01% ( | 48.99% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.93% ( | 71.07% ( |
| Sunderland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.97% ( | 16.03% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.62% ( | 45.38% ( |
| Portsmouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.72% ( | 41.28% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.19% ( | 77.81% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Sunderland | Draw | Portsmouth |
| 1-0 @ 12.11% ( 2-0 @ 11.08% ( 2-1 @ 9.81% ( 3-0 @ 6.77% ( 3-1 @ 5.99% ( 4-0 @ 3.1% ( 4-1 @ 2.74% ( 3-2 @ 2.65% ( 4-2 @ 1.21% ( 5-0 @ 1.13% ( 5-1 @ 1% ( Other @ 2.08% Total : 59.67% | 1-1 @ 10.71% ( 0-0 @ 6.62% ( 2-2 @ 4.34% ( Other @ 0.87% Total : 22.53% | 0-1 @ 5.86% ( 1-2 @ 4.74% ( 0-2 @ 2.59% ( 1-3 @ 1.4% ( 2-3 @ 1.28% ( Other @ 1.91% Total : 17.78% |