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Championship | Gameweek 21
Dec 13, 2024 at 8pm UK
Pride Park Stadium
Portsmouth

Derby
4 - 0
Portsmouth

Wilson (8'), Cashin (23'), Adams (29'), Pack (65' og.)
FT(HT: 3-0)

McIntyre (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Derby County and Portsmouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Burnley 0-0 Derby
Tuesday, December 10 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Portsmouth 0-0 Norwich
Tuesday, December 10 at 7.45pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 52.17%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Portsmouth had a probability of 23.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.71%), while for a Portsmouth win it was 0-1 (7.15%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derby County would win this match.

Result
Derby CountyDrawPortsmouth
52.17% (0.22 0.22)24.63% (-0.087 -0.09)23.19% (-0.131 -0.13)
Both teams to score 51.04% (0.111 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.2% (0.224 0.22)50.8% (-0.223 -0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.31% (0.198 0.2)72.69% (-0.19799999999999 -0.2)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.55% (0.173 0.17)19.45% (-0.172 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.71% (0.284 0.28)51.29% (-0.284 -0.28)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.36% (0.0030000000000001 0)36.63% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.58% (0.0030000000000001 0)73.42% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Derby County 52.17%
    Portsmouth 23.19%
    Draw 24.63%
Derby CountyDrawPortsmouth
1-0 @ 11.66% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.59% (0.019 0.02)
2-0 @ 9.55% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.24% (0.038 0.04)
3-0 @ 5.21% (0.038 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.63% (0.02 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.14% (0.027 0.03)
4-0 @ 2.13% (0.027 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.08% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 52.17%
1-1 @ 11.71% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 7.12% (-0.064 -0.06)
2-2 @ 4.82% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 24.63%
0-1 @ 7.15% (-0.063 -0.06)
1-2 @ 5.88% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.59% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.97% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.61% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.2% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 23.19%

How you voted: Derby vs Portsmouth

Derby County
56.6%
Draw
25.4%
Portsmouth
18.0%
122
Head to Head
Apr 2, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 42
Portsmouth
2-2
Derby
Kamara (27'), Moxon (77')
Lane (20'), Ogilvie (72')
Ward (23', 35')
Collins (43')
Sep 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 8
Derby
1-1
Portsmouth
Collins (86' pen.)
Fornah (26'), Collins (88'), (90+5')
Bishop (90+5')
Pack (10'), Poole (28'), Robertson (65')
Apr 29, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 45
Derby
1-1
Portsmouth
Collins (71')
Bishop (24')
Nov 18, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 19
Portsmouth
0-0
Derby
Aug 12, 2015 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeeds UnitedLeeds4629134953065100
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd462881063362790
5Coventry CityCoventry46209176458669
6Bristol City461717125955468
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn46199185348566
8Millwall461812164749-266
9West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4615191257471064
10Middlesbrough461810186456864
11Swansea CitySwansea461710195156-561
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds461513186069-958
13Norwich CityNorwich461415177168357
14Watford46169215361-857
15Queens Park RangersQPR461414185363-1056
16Portsmouth461412205871-1354
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd461314194965-1653
18Stoke CityStoke461215194562-1751
19Derby CountyDerby461311224856-850
20Preston North EndPreston461020164859-1150
21Hull City461213214454-1049
RLuton TownLuton461310234569-2449
RPlymouth ArgylePlymouth461113225188-3746
RCardiff CityCardiff46917204873-2544


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