Championship

Championship | Gameweek 19

Dec 7, 2024 at 12.30pm UK

Elland Road

Leeds
2 - 0
Derby

Rodon (39'), Wober (44')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Jackson (15')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Leeds United and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Leeds United

All competitions

Last Game: Blackburn 1-0 Leeds
Saturday, November 30 at 1.30pm in Championship

Goals
for

Derby County

All competitions

Last Game: Derby 1-2 Sheff Weds
Sunday, December 1 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 70.37%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Derby County had a probability of 11.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.15%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.76%), while for a Derby County win it was 0-1 (4.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Leeds United in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Leeds United.

Result
Leeds United	Draw	Derby County
70.37% ( -0.38)	18.46% ( 0.38)	11.17% ( -0)

Both teams to score 45.42% (

-1.26)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.82% (

-1.68)

45.18% (

1.68)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.47% (

-1.63)

67.52% (

1.63)

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.39% (

-0.57)

11.61% (

0.57)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.4% (

-1.24)

36.6% (

1.24)

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.39% (

-1.08)

48.61% (

1.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.32% (

-0.79)

83.68% (

0.79)

Score Analysis

Leeds United 70.37%

Derby County 11.17%

Draw 18.46%

Leeds United	Draw	Derby County
2-0 @ 13.08% ( 0.34) 1-0 @ 12.15% ( 0.59) 2-1 @ 9.44% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 9.39% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 6.78% ( -0.19) 4-0 @ 5.06% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 3.65% ( -0.19) 3-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.15) 5-0 @ 2.18% ( -0.1) 5-1 @ 1.57% ( -0.12) 4-2 @ 1.32% ( -0.11) Other @ 3.32% Total : 70.37%	1-1 @ 8.76% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 5.64% ( 0.4) 2-2 @ 3.4% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.65% Total : 18.46%	0-1 @ 4.07% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 3.16% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 1.47% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.47% Total : 11.17%

How you voted: Leeds vs Derby

Leeds United

77.2%

Draw

17.5%

Derby County

5.3%

Head to Head

Jul 19, 2020 2pm

Gameweek 45

Sep 21, 2019 12.30pm

Gameweek 8

May 15, 2019 7.45pm

Semi-Finals

May 11, 2019 5.15pm

Semi-Finals

Jan 11, 2019 7.45pm

Gameweek 27

Leeds

2-0

Derby

Roofe (20'), Harrison (47')
Roofe (54')

Wisdom (15'), Evans (45'), Holmes (45'), Waghorn (90')

Form Guide

Nations League

International Friendlies

International Friendlies

International Friendlies

Singapore

Tajikistan

World Cup Qualifying - Asia

World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

COSAFA Cup

Lesotho

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Leeds United Leeds	46	29	13	4	95	30	65	100
P	Burnley	46	28	16	2	69	16	53	100
3	Sheffield United Sheff Utd	46	28	8	10	63	36	27	90
P	Sunderland	46	21	13	12	58	44	14	76
5	Coventry City Coventry	46	20	9	17	64	58	6	69
6	Bristol City	46	17	17	12	59	55	4	68
7	Blackburn Rovers Blackburn	46	19	9	18	53	48	5	66
8	Millwall	46	18	12	16	47	49	-2	66
9	West Bromwich Albion West Brom	46	15	19	12	57	47	10	64
10	Middlesbrough	46	18	10	18	64	56	8	64
11	Swansea City Swansea	46	17	10	19	51	56	-5	61
12	Sheffield Wednesday Sheff Weds	46	15	13	18	60	69	-9	58
13	Norwich City Norwich	46	14	15	17	71	68	3	57
14	Watford	46	16	9	21	53	61	-8	57
15	Queens Park Rangers QPR	46	14	14	18	53	63	-10	56
16	Portsmouth	46	14	12	20	58	71	-13	54
17	Oxford United Oxford Utd	46	13	14	19	49	65	-16	53
18	Stoke City Stoke	46	12	15	19	45	62	-17	51
19	Derby County Derby	46	13	11	22	48	56	-8	50
20	Preston North End Preston	46	10	20	16	48	59	-11	50
21	Hull City	46	12	13	21	44	54	-10	49
R	Luton Town Luton	46	13	10	23	45	69	-24	49
R	Plymouth Argyle Plymouth	46	11	13	22	51	88	-37	46
R	Cardiff City Cardiff	46	9	17	20	48	73	-25	44
					> Championship Full Table