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League One
Portsmouth
League One | Gameweek 19
Nov 18, 2022 at 8pm UK
Fratton Park
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Portsmouth
0 - 0
Derby


Robertson (12'), Bishop (71')
FT

Sibley (38'), Cashin (63'), Thompson (73'), Dobbin (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League One clash between Portsmouth and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portsmouth

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Morecambe 1-1 Portsmouth
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in League One

Derby County

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Derby 5-0 Torquay Utd
Tuesday, November 15 at 7.45pm in FA Cup

We said: Portsmouth 2-2 Derby County

 Portsmouth have drawn their last four home league games, and we think that they may have to settle for another point when they face a Derby side who have only lost one of their previous five away matches in League One. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 44.05%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 29.22% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Derby County win was 0-1 (9.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
PortsmouthDrawDerby County
44.05% (-0.768 -0.77) 26.73% (0.178 0.18) 29.22% (0.591 0.59)
Both teams to score 49.79% (-0.19 -0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.1% (-0.407 -0.41)54.9% (0.409 0.41)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.81% (-0.337 -0.34)76.19% (0.33800000000001 0.34)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.23% (-0.557 -0.56)24.77% (0.559 0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.67% (-0.784 -0.78)59.33% (0.786 0.79)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.19% (0.23700000000001 0.24)33.81% (-0.235 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.52% (0.255 0.26)70.48% (-0.253 -0.25)
Score Analysis
    Portsmouth 44.04%
    Derby County 29.22%
    Draw 26.73%
PortsmouthDrawDerby County
1-0 @ 11.68% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.84% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-0 @ 8.16% (-0.136 -0.14)
3-1 @ 4.11% (-0.11 -0.11)
3-0 @ 3.79% (-0.127 -0.13)
3-2 @ 2.23% (-0.045 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.44% (-0.063 -0.06)
4-0 @ 1.32% (-0.066 -0.07)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 44.04%
1-1 @ 12.67% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 8.38% (0.132 0.13)
2-2 @ 4.8% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 26.73%
0-1 @ 9.08% (0.201 0.2)
1-2 @ 6.87% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
0-2 @ 4.92% (0.139 0.14)
1-3 @ 2.48% (0.046 0.05)
0-3 @ 1.78% (0.062 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.73% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 29.22%

How you voted: Portsmouth vs Derby

Portsmouth
33.6%
Draw
27.5%
Derby County
38.9%
131
Head to Head
Aug 12, 2015 7.45pm
Portsmouth
2-1
Derby
> Match Report
Apr 21, 2012 3pm
Portsmouth
1-2
Derby
Varney (74')
Kitson (42'), Varney (55'), Pearce (65')
Buxton (41'), Davies (78' pen.)
Davies (65')
> Match Report
Oct 29, 2011 3pm
Derby
3-1
Portsmouth
Ward (33'), Bryson (3'), Maguire (14')
Shackell (9')
Pearce (79')
Varney (86')
Feb 5, 2011 3pm
Portsmouth
1-1
Derby
Nugent (90')
Hogg (52'), De Laet (85')
Davies (34')
Davies (75'), Cywka (78')
Nov 6, 2010 3pm
Derby
2-0
Portsmouth
Savage (23' pen.), Green (58')
Leacock (45')

Mokoena (7'), Mullins (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham40298373294495
2Wrexham422410859322782
3Wycombe WanderersWycombe422312767373081
4Stockport CountyStockport422211963372677
5Charlton AthleticCharlton4222101058382076
6Reading421912115951869
7Leyton Orient422061661431866
8Bolton WanderersBolton42206166362166
9Huddersfield TownHuddersfield421971654441064
10Blackpool4115151163531060
11Barnsley42169176064-457
12Lincoln CityLincoln421413155749855
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham42159184853-554
14Stevenage411410173844-652
15Exeter CityExeter421410184558-1352
16Peterborough UnitedPeterborough41139196272-1048
17Wigan AthleticWigan411114163539-447
18Mansfield TownMansfield41138204959-1047
19Northampton TownNorthampton421114174259-1747
20Burton Albion411012194459-1542
21Bristol Rovers42126244268-2642
22Crawley TownCrawley4299244981-3236
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge42811234066-2635
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury4279263771-3430
> League One Full Table


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