MX23RW : Tuesday, January 3 03:47:57| >> :300:86500:86500:
Accrington Stanley
Barnsley
Bolton logo
Bristol Rovers
Burton Albion
Cambridge United
Charlton Athletic
Cheltenham Town
Derby logo
Exeter City
Fleetwood Town
Forest Green Rovers
Ipswich logo
Lincoln City
MK Dons
Morecambe
Oxford United
Peterborough United
Plymouth Argyle
Port Vale
Portsmouth
Sheffield Wednesday logo
Shrewsbury Town
Wycombe Wanderers
Oct 15, 2022 at 3pm UK at Wham Stadium
Accrington
0 - 3
Derby

Tharme (51')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Osula (15', 39'), Barkhuizen (90+8')
Cashin (28'), Davies (37')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Accrington Stanley and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Accrington Stanley 1-2 Derby County

It is only a matter of time until Derby's big-name signings start clicking together, and they should be just too much for Accrington, but it certainly will not be easy. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 45.32%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 28.92% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-2 (8.03%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Derby County would win this match.

Result
Accrington StanleyDrawDerby County
28.92%25.75%45.32% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Both teams to score 52.6% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.81% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)51.19% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.97%73.03% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.9% (0.0010000000000048 0)32.09% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.43% (0.00099999999999767 0)68.57% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.46% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)22.54%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.87% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)56.12%
Score Analysis
    Accrington Stanley 28.92%
    Derby County 45.31%
    Draw 25.75%
Accrington StanleyDrawDerby County
1-0 @ 8.22%
2-1 @ 6.96%
2-0 @ 4.67%
3-1 @ 2.64% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.96%
3-0 @ 1.77%
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 28.92%
1-1 @ 12.24%
0-0 @ 7.24%
2-2 @ 5.19%
3-3 @ 0.98%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.75%
0-1 @ 10.77%
1-2 @ 9.13%
0-2 @ 8.03%
1-3 @ 4.53%
0-3 @ 3.99%
2-3 @ 2.58%
1-4 @ 1.69%
0-4 @ 1.49%
2-4 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 45.31%

How you voted: Accrington vs Derby

Accrington Stanley
22.2%
Draw
22.2%
Derby County
55.6%
18
Head to Head
Jan 26, 2019 12.30pm
Accrington
0-1
Derby

Barlaser (3')
Barlaser (59')
Waghorn (78')
Bogle (86'), Jozefzoon (90'), Nugent (90')
Bogle (90')
rhs 2.0
Todays Game Header Right
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Plymouth ArgylePlymouth25175346262056
2Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds25157345182752
3Ipswich TownIpswich25148347252250
4Derby CountyDerby24118533171641
5Bolton WanderersBolton24117630201040
6Barnsley2312473021940
7Wycombe WanderersWycombe2511593326738
8Peterborough UnitedPeterborough24112113931835
9Port Vale2410592732-535
10Exeter CityExeter259793836234
11Bristol Rovers259794042-234
12Portsmouth2271052927231
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood2461172825329
14Oxford UnitedOxford Utd247892927229
15Lincoln CityLincoln2361162328-529
16Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2485112329-629
17Charlton AthleticCharlton2461083635128
18Cheltenham TownCheltenham2384111825-728
19Cambridge UnitedCambridge2473142139-1824
20Accrington StanleyAccrington2357112138-1722
21Burton Albion2557133250-1822
22Morecambe2449112434-1021
23MK Dons2463152336-1321
24Forest Green RoversForest Green2555152149-2820

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