| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 20 | Forest Green Rovers | 8 | -9 | 8 | 
| 21 | Accrington Stanley | 8 | -3 | 7 | 
| 22 | MK Dons | 8 | -3 | 7 | 
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Bristol Rovers | 8 | -3 | 8 | 
| 19 | Cheltenham Town | 8 | -3 | 8 | 
| 20 | Forest Green Rovers | 8 | -9 | 8 | 
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 41.03%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 33.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 (8.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Accrington Stanley in this match.
| Result | ||
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Cheltenham Town | 
| 41.03% ( | 25.95% ( | 33.02% ( | 
| Both teams to score 53.84% ( | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 49.57% ( | 50.43% ( | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 27.64% ( | 72.36% ( | 
| Accrington Stanley Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 75.7% ( | 24.3% ( | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.33% ( | 58.67% ( | 
| Cheltenham Town Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 71.12% ( | 28.88% ( | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.25% ( | 64.75% ( | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Cheltenham Town | 
| 1-0 @ 9.93% ( 2-1 @ 8.72% ( 2-0 @ 7.02% ( 3-1 @ 4.11% ( 3-0 @ 3.31% ( 3-2 @ 2.56% ( 4-1 @ 1.46% ( 4-0 @ 1.17% ( 4-2 @ 0.9% ( Other @ 1.85% Total : 41.03%  | 1-1 @ 12.33% ( 0-0 @ 7.02% ( 2-2 @ 5.42% ( 3-3 @ 1.06% ( Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.95%  | 0-1 @ 8.72% ( 1-2 @ 7.66% ( 0-2 @ 5.41% ( 1-3 @ 3.17% ( 2-3 @ 2.24% ( 0-3 @ 2.24% ( 1-4 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 2.6% Total : 33.02%  | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 28 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 48 | 18 | 30 | 61 | 
| 2 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 29 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 51 | 30 | 21 | 61 | 
| 3 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 29 | 15 | 10 | 4 | 54 | 29 | 25 | 55 | 
| 4 | Derby CountyDerby | 28 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 45 | 21 | 24 | 53 | 
| 5 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 38 | 23 | 15 | 53 | 
| 6 | Barnsley | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 36 | 26 | 10 | 47 | 
| 7 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 27 | 14 | 2 | 11 | 45 | 32 | 13 | 44 | 
| 8 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 38 | 27 | 11 | 44 | 
| 9 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 29 | 13 | 5 | 11 | 36 | 31 | 5 | 44 | 
| 10 | Portsmouth | 27 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 35 | 33 | 2 | 38 | 
| 11 | Exeter CityExeter | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 42 | 41 | 1 | 38 | 
| 12 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 28 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 43 | 39 | 4 | 37 | 
| 13 | Bristol Rovers | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 43 | 52 | -9 | 37 | 
| 14 | Port Vale | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 29 | 40 | -11 | 37 | 
| 15 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 35 | 
| 16 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 27 | 7 | 13 | 7 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 34 | 
| 17 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 28 | 6 | 11 | 11 | 31 | 33 | -2 | 29 | 
| 18 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 28 | 8 | 5 | 15 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 29 | 
| 19 | MK Dons | 29 | 8 | 4 | 17 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 28 | 
| 20 | Burton Albion | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 28 | 
| 21 | Morecambe | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 27 | 
| 22 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 25 | 45 | -20 | 26 | 
| 23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 28 | 7 | 5 | 16 | 24 | 47 | -23 | 26 | 
| 24 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 24 | 57 | -33 | 21 | 
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