| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Port Vale | 5 | -2 | 7 |
| 12 | Accrington Stanley | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 13 | Wycombe Wanderers | 5 | 0 | 6 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Derby County | 5 | 1 | 8 |
| 9 | Exeter City | 5 | 4 | 7 |
| 10 | Cambridge United | 5 | -2 | 7 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 40.86%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 32.35% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-2 (7.34%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 (9.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Exeter City |
| 32.35% ( | 26.79% ( | 40.86% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.95% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.97% ( | 54.03% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.53% ( | 75.46% ( |
| Accrington Stanley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.87% ( | 31.12% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.54% ( | 67.45% ( |
| Exeter City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.98% ( | 26.01% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.95% ( | 61.04% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Exeter City |
| 1-0 @ 9.45% ( 2-1 @ 7.43% ( 2-0 @ 5.52% ( 3-1 @ 2.89% ( 3-0 @ 2.15% ( 3-2 @ 1.95% ( Other @ 2.98% Total : 32.35% | 1-1 @ 12.72% ( 0-0 @ 8.1% ( 2-2 @ 5% ( Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.78% | 0-1 @ 10.9% ( 1-2 @ 8.57% ( 0-2 @ 7.34% ( 1-3 @ 3.85% ( 0-3 @ 3.3% ( 2-3 @ 2.24% ( 1-4 @ 1.29% ( 0-4 @ 1.11% ( Other @ 2.27% Total : 40.86% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 38 | 24 | 8 | 6 | 67 | 41 | 26 | 80 |
| 2 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 36 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 64 | 27 | 37 | 78 |
| 3 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 37 | 21 | 12 | 4 | 72 | 31 | 41 | 75 |
| 4 | Barnsley | 36 | 22 | 6 | 8 | 60 | 31 | 29 | 72 |
| 5 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 38 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 52 | 31 | 21 | 64 |
| 6 | Derby CountyDerby | 38 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 59 | 39 | 20 | 64 |
| 7 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 38 | 20 | 3 | 15 | 65 | 47 | 18 | 63 |
| 8 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 51 | 36 | 15 | 61 |
| 9 | Portsmouth | 38 | 15 | 13 | 10 | 53 | 44 | 9 | 58 |
| 10 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 37 | 16 | 7 | 14 | 47 | 41 | 6 | 55 |
| 11 | Exeter CityExeter | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 53 | 48 | 5 | 49 |
| 12 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 53 | 50 | 3 | 49 |
| 13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 41 | 39 | 2 | 49 |
| 14 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 37 | 9 | 18 | 10 | 34 | 40 | -6 | 45 |
| 15 | Bristol Rovers | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 50 | 60 | -10 | 45 |
| 16 | Port Vale | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 40 | 55 | -15 | 45 |
| 17 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 37 | 12 | 7 | 18 | 32 | 47 | -15 | 43 |
| 18 | Burton Albion | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 47 | 70 | -23 | 41 |
| 19 | MK Dons | 38 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 39 |
| 20 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 37 | 9 | 10 | 18 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 37 |
| 21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 30 | 63 | -33 | 35 |
| 22 | Morecambe | 39 | 7 | 13 | 19 | 37 | 63 | -26 | 34 |
| 23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 37 | 8 | 6 | 23 | 28 | 59 | -31 | 30 |
| 24 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 37 | 5 | 8 | 24 | 28 | 71 | -43 | 23 |
| > Full Version | |||||||||
