Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 47.98%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 28.45% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.48%) and 0-2 (7.35%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 2-1 (6.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-7 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.
0.02) 
-0.04) 
