| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Bolton Wanderers | 6 | 0 | 8 |
| 11 | Accrington Stanley | 5 | 1 | 7 |
| 12 | Wycombe Wanderers | 6 | 0 | 7 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Portsmouth | 6 | 8 | 14 |
| 2 | Ipswich Town | 6 | 8 | 14 |
| 3 | Sheffield Wednesday | 6 | 7 | 13 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 54.77%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 21.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.82%) and 0-2 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.04%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 1-0 (6.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Ipswich Town |
| 21.93% ( | 23.3% ( | 54.77% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.61% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.39% ( | 46.61% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.12% ( | 68.88% ( |
| Accrington Stanley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.51% ( | 35.49% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.75% ( | 72.25% ( |
| Ipswich Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.1% ( | 16.9% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 53.06% ( | 46.94% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Ipswich Town |
| 1-0 @ 6.21% ( 2-1 @ 5.72% ( 2-0 @ 3.22% ( 3-1 @ 1.98% ( 3-2 @ 1.76% ( 3-0 @ 1.11% ( Other @ 1.94% Total : 21.93% | 1-1 @ 11.04% ( 0-0 @ 6% ( 2-2 @ 5.09% ( 3-3 @ 1.04% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.29% | 0-1 @ 10.66% ( 1-2 @ 9.82% ( 0-2 @ 9.48% ( 1-3 @ 5.82% ( 0-3 @ 5.62% ( 2-3 @ 3.01% ( 1-4 @ 2.59% ( 0-4 @ 2.5% ( 2-4 @ 1.34% ( 1-5 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 3.02% Total : 54.77% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 33 | 22 | 8 | 3 | 60 | 22 | 38 | 74 |
| 2 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 35 | 22 | 8 | 5 | 63 | 38 | 25 | 74 |
| 3 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 35 | 19 | 12 | 4 | 68 | 31 | 37 | 69 |
| 4 | Barnsley | 33 | 19 | 6 | 8 | 52 | 29 | 23 | 63 |
| 5 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 36 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 51 | 28 | 23 | 63 |
| 6 | Derby CountyDerby | 35 | 17 | 10 | 8 | 56 | 33 | 23 | 61 |
| 7 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 47 | 32 | 15 | 57 |
| 8 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 34 | 17 | 3 | 14 | 55 | 42 | 13 | 54 |
| 9 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 35 | 15 | 7 | 13 | 44 | 38 | 6 | 52 |
| 10 | Portsmouth | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 46 | 40 | 6 | 51 |
| 11 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 34 | 9 | 18 | 7 | 32 | 33 | -1 | 45 |
| 12 | Exeter CityExeter | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 45 | 44 | 1 | 43 |
| 13 | Port Vale | 35 | 12 | 7 | 16 | 35 | 49 | -14 | 43 |
| 14 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 35 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 36 | 37 | -1 | 42 |
| 15 | Bristol Rovers | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 47 | 55 | -8 | 42 |
| 16 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 45 | 46 | -1 | 41 |
| 17 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 26 | 46 | -20 | 37 |
| 18 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 35 | 9 | 9 | 17 | 36 | 45 | -9 | 36 |
| 19 | Burton Albion | 33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 40 | 62 | -22 | 35 |
| 20 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 28 | 51 | -23 | 34 |
| 21 | Morecambe | 35 | 7 | 12 | 16 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 33 |
| 22 | MK Dons | 35 | 8 | 6 | 21 | 31 | 54 | -23 | 30 |
| 23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 35 | 8 | 6 | 21 | 27 | 56 | -29 | 30 |
| 24 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 35 | 5 | 8 | 22 | 27 | 66 | -39 | 23 |
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