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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 52.72%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.88%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.77%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 0-1 (7.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Ipswich Town | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
52.72% | 24.79% | 22.5% |
Both teams to score 49.75% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.9% | 52.1% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.18% | 73.82% |
Ipswich Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.27% | 19.74% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.24% | 51.76% |
Accrington Stanley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.98% | 38.02% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.21% | 74.79% |
Score Analysis |
Ipswich Town | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
1-0 @ 12.17% 2-0 @ 9.88% 2-1 @ 9.55% 3-0 @ 5.35% 3-1 @ 5.17% 3-2 @ 2.5% 4-0 @ 2.17% 4-1 @ 2.1% 4-2 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.82% Total : 52.71% | 1-1 @ 11.77% 0-0 @ 7.5% 2-2 @ 4.62% Other @ 0.89% Total : 24.78% | 0-1 @ 7.26% 1-2 @ 5.69% 0-2 @ 3.51% 1-3 @ 1.84% 2-3 @ 1.49% 0-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.58% Total : 22.5% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 33 | 22 | 8 | 3 | 60 | 22 | 38 | 74 |
2 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 35 | 22 | 8 | 5 | 63 | 38 | 25 | 74 |
3 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 35 | 19 | 12 | 4 | 68 | 31 | 37 | 69 |
4 | Barnsley | 33 | 19 | 6 | 8 | 52 | 29 | 23 | 63 |
5 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 36 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 51 | 28 | 23 | 63 |
6 | Derby CountyDerby | 35 | 17 | 10 | 8 | 56 | 33 | 23 | 61 |
7 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 47 | 32 | 15 | 57 |
8 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 34 | 17 | 3 | 14 | 55 | 42 | 13 | 54 |
9 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 35 | 15 | 7 | 13 | 44 | 38 | 6 | 52 |
10 | Portsmouth | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 46 | 40 | 6 | 51 |
11 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 34 | 9 | 18 | 7 | 32 | 33 | -1 | 45 |
12 | Exeter CityExeter | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 45 | 44 | 1 | 43 |
13 | Port Vale | 35 | 12 | 7 | 16 | 35 | 49 | -14 | 43 |
14 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 35 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 36 | 37 | -1 | 42 |
15 | Bristol Rovers | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 47 | 55 | -8 | 42 |
16 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 45 | 46 | -1 | 41 |
17 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 26 | 46 | -20 | 37 |
18 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 35 | 9 | 9 | 17 | 36 | 45 | -9 | 36 |
19 | Burton Albion | 33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 40 | 62 | -22 | 35 |
20 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 28 | 51 | -23 | 34 |
21 | Morecambe | 35 | 7 | 12 | 16 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 33 |
22 | MK Dons | 35 | 8 | 6 | 21 | 31 | 54 | -23 | 30 |
23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 35 | 8 | 6 | 21 | 27 | 56 | -29 | 30 |
24 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 35 | 5 | 8 | 22 | 27 | 66 | -39 | 23 |
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