Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 51.51%. A win for Cambuur had a probability of 24.87% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (8.5%). The likeliest Cambuur win was 0-1 (6.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| NEC | Draw | Cambuur | 
| 51.51% (  0.15) | 23.62% (  -0.04) | 24.87% (  -0.11) | 
| Both teams to score 56.12% (  0.02) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 55.02% (  0.07) | 44.98% (  -0.07) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 32.67% (  0.07) | 67.33% (  -0.07) | 
| NEC Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 82.51% (  0.08) | 17.49% (  -0.08) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 52.01% (  0.14) | 47.98% (  -0.14) | 
| Cambuur Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 68.01% (  -0.05) | 31.98% (  0.05) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31.55% (  -0.06) | 68.44% (  0.06) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| NEC | Draw | Cambuur | 
| 1-0 @ 9.75% (  -0) 2-1 @ 9.69% (  0.01) 2-0 @ 8.5% (  0.02) 3-1 @ 5.63% (  0.02) 3-0 @ 4.94% (  0.02) 3-2 @ 3.21% (  0.01) 4-1 @ 2.46% (  0.02) 4-0 @ 2.15% (  0.02) 4-2 @ 1.4% (  0.01) Other @ 3.76% Total : 51.51% | 1-1 @ 11.11% (  -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.59% (  -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.52% (  -0) 3-3 @ 1.22% (  0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.61% | 0-1 @ 6.38% (  -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.34% (  -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.63% (  -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.41% (  -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.1% (  -0) 0-3 @ 1.38% (  -0.01) Other @ 2.64% Total : 24.87% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Feyenoord | 26 | 18 | 7 | 1 | 59 | 25 | 34 | 61 | 
| 2 | Ajax | 26 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 72 | 28 | 44 | 55 | 
| 3 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 27 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 53 | 31 | 22 | 54 | 
| 4 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 69 | 31 | 38 | 53 | 
| 5 | FC Twente | 27 | 13 | 9 | 5 | 44 | 22 | 22 | 48 | 
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 41 | 27 | 14 | 46 | 
| 7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 42 | 41 | 1 | 38 | 
| 8 | Heerenveen | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 35 | 
| 9 | NECNijmegen | 26 | 7 | 13 | 6 | 35 | 28 | 7 | 34 | 
| 10 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 40 | 40 | 0 | 32 | 
| 11 | Go Ahead Eagles | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 29 | 
| 12 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 29 | 
| 13 | FC VolendamVolendam | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 31 | 56 | -25 | 26 | 
| 14 | Vitesse | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 30 | 46 | -16 | 24 | 
| 15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 27 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 25 | 61 | -36 | 24 | 
| 16 | EmmenEmmen | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 24 | 45 | -21 | 21 | 
| 17 | Groningen | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 25 | 52 | -27 | 17 | 
| 18 | Cambuur | 26 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 20 | 50 | -30 | 16 | 
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