Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambuur win with a probability of 45.37%. A win for NEC had a probability of 31.68% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambuur win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.97%) and 2-0 (6.22%). The likeliest NEC win was 1-2 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cambuur would win this match.
