Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morecambe win with a probability of 44.16%. A win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 30.77% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Morecambe win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Forest Green Rovers win was 0-1 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Morecambe | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
| 44.16% ( | 25.07% ( | 30.77% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.87% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.6% ( | 47.4% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.39% ( | 69.61% ( |
| Morecambe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.52% ( | 21.48% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 45.49% ( | 54.51% ( |
| Forest Green Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.14% ( | 28.86% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.28% ( | 64.72% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Morecambe | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 9.53% ( 2-1 @ 9.11% ( 2-0 @ 7.33% ( 3-1 @ 4.67% ( 3-0 @ 3.76% ( 3-2 @ 2.9% ( 4-1 @ 1.8% ( 4-0 @ 1.45% ( 4-2 @ 1.12% ( Other @ 2.49% Total : 44.16% | 1-1 @ 11.84% ( 0-0 @ 6.2% ( 2-2 @ 5.66% ( 3-3 @ 1.2% ( Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.06% | 0-1 @ 7.7% ( 1-2 @ 7.36% ( 0-2 @ 4.79% ( 1-3 @ 3.05% 2-3 @ 2.35% ( 0-3 @ 1.98% ( 1-4 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 2.6% Total : 30.77% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Portsmouth | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 19 |
| 2 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 18 |
| 3 | Stevenage | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 18 |
| 4 | Port Vale | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 17 |
| 5 | Barnsley | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 16 |
| 6 | Exeter CityExeter | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 16 |
| 7 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 14 |
| 8 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
| 9 | Derby CountyDerby | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 13 |
| 10 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 13 |
| 11 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 13 |
| 12 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 12 |
| 13 | Bristol Rovers | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 12 |
| 14 | Blackpool | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 12 |
| 15 | Leyton Orient | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 11 |
| 16 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 10 |
| 17 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 9 |
| 18 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 7 |
| 19 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 7 |
| 20 | Burton Albion | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 6 |
| 21 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 5 |
| 22 | Reading | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 5 |
| 23 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 14 | -10 | 2 |
| 24 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 15 | -15 | 1 |
| > League One Full Table | |||||||||
