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Morecambe
League One | Gameweek 31
Feb 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
Mazuma Stadium
Forest Green Rovers
Morecambe
1 - 1
Forest Green
Stockton (89')
Adams (80')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Clarke (81')
Omotoye (79'), Peart-Harris (88')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Morecambe and Forest Green Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Derby 5-0 Morecambe
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in League One

We said: Morecambe 3-1 Forest Green Rovers

Undefeated in their last six matches at the Mazuma Stadium, dating back to October 8, we predict that Morecambe will inflict more relegation turmoil on Forest Green Rovers come 5pm on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morecambe win with a probability of 44.16%. A win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 30.77% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Morecambe win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Forest Green Rovers win was 0-1 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.

Result
MorecambeDrawForest Green Rovers
44.16% (-0.119 -0.12) 25.07% (0.047000000000001 0.05) 30.77% (0.071999999999999 0.07)
Both teams to score 55.87% (-0.124 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.6% (-0.176 -0.18)47.4% (0.175 0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.39% (-0.163 -0.16)69.61% (0.16200000000001 0.16)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.52% (-0.129 -0.13)21.48% (0.127 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.49% (-0.198 -0.2)54.51% (0.197 0.2)
Forest Green Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.14% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)28.86% (0.041 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.28% (-0.052 -0.05)64.72% (0.050999999999988 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Morecambe 44.16%
    Forest Green Rovers 30.77%
    Draw 25.06%
MorecambeDrawForest Green Rovers
1-0 @ 9.53% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.11% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.33% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
3-1 @ 4.67% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-0 @ 3.76% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.9% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.8% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.45% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.12% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 44.16%
1-1 @ 11.84% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.2% (0.045 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.66% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.2% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.06%
0-1 @ 7.7% (0.048 0.05)
1-2 @ 7.36% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.79% (0.024 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.05%
2-3 @ 2.35% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.98% (0.008 0.01)
1-4 @ 0.95% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 30.77%

Head to Head
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
Mar 9, 2021 7pm
Forest Green
2-2
Morecambe
Collins (10'), Matt (79')
Stokes (23'), Bernard (38')
Stockton (22'), Mendes Gomes (90+4')
O'Sullivan (38'), Gibson (45+4')
Oct 24, 2020 3pm
Morecambe
1-2
Forest Green
Leitch-Smith (19')
Lavelle (21'), Hendrie (64'), Wildig (74'), Knight-Percival (87')
Young (79'), Matt (83')
Godwin-Malife (74'), Matt (87')
Mar 17, 2020 7.45pm
Oct 22, 2019 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Portsmouth9540156919
2Oxford UnitedOxford Utd8602157818
3Stevenage9531146818
4Port Vale95221114-317
5Barnsley95132011916
6Exeter CityExeter9513107316
7Bolton WanderersBolton84221410414
8Peterborough UnitedPeterborough94231311214
9Derby CountyDerby8413149513
10Cambridge UnitedCambridge8413107313
11Wycombe WanderersWycombe8413912-313
12Lincoln CityLincoln8332129312
13Bristol Rovers8332129312
14Blackpool833287112
15Leyton Orient9324813-511
16Charlton AthleticCharlton83141111010
17Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury830549-59
18Northampton TownNorthampton821569-37
19Carlisle UnitedCarlisle9144711-47
20Burton Albion9135614-86
21Wigan AthleticWigan8413131215
22Reading8305710-35
23Fleetwood TownFleetwood8026414-102
24Cheltenham TownCheltenham9018015-151

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