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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 79.85%. A draw had a probability of 13.7% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 6.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.9%) and 1-0 (10.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.48%), while for a Morecambe win it was 0-1 (2.52%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Ipswich Town | Draw | Morecambe |
79.85% (![]() | 13.65% (![]() | 6.5% (![]() |
Both teams to score 41.54% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.28% (![]() | 38.72% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.97% (![]() | 61.03% (![]() |
Ipswich Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.33% (![]() | 7.67% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
72.62% (![]() | 27.38% (![]() |
Morecambe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
44.99% (![]() | 55% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
12.12% (![]() | 87.88% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Ipswich Town | Draw | Morecambe |
2-0 @ 13.91% (![]() 3-0 @ 11.9% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 10.83% 2-1 @ 8.32% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 7.64% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.12% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 4.57% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 3.92% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 2.35% 3-2 @ 2.13% ( ![]() 6-0 @ 1.68% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.37% ( ![]() 6-1 @ 1% Other @ 3.12% Total : 79.84% | 1-1 @ 6.48% (![]() 0-0 @ 4.22% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 2.49% ( ![]() Other @ 0.47% Total : 13.65% | 0-1 @ 2.52% (![]() 1-2 @ 1.94% ( ![]() Other @ 2.04% Total : 6.5% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 33 | 22 | 8 | 3 | 60 | 22 | 38 | 74 |
2 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 61 | 37 | 24 | 71 |
3 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 34 | 18 | 12 | 4 | 65 | 31 | 34 | 66 |
4 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 36 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 51 | 28 | 23 | 63 |
5 | Derby CountyDerby | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 55 | 31 | 24 | 61 |
6 | Barnsley | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 49 | 28 | 21 | 60 |
7 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 33 | 16 | 6 | 11 | 45 | 32 | 13 | 54 |
8 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 43 | 36 | 7 | 52 |
9 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 33 | 16 | 3 | 14 | 53 | 41 | 12 | 51 |
10 | Portsmouth | 33 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 51 |
11 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 33 | 9 | 17 | 7 | 32 | 33 | -1 | 44 |
12 | Exeter CityExeter | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 45 | 44 | 1 | 43 |
13 | Port Vale | 35 | 12 | 7 | 16 | 35 | 49 | -14 | 43 |
14 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 42 |
15 | Bristol Rovers | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 47 | 55 | -8 | 42 |
16 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 45 | 46 | -1 | 41 |
17 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 35 | 9 | 9 | 17 | 36 | 45 | -9 | 36 |
18 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 26 | 46 | -20 | 36 |
19 | Burton Albion | 33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 40 | 62 | -22 | 35 |
20 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 28 | 48 | -20 | 34 |
21 | Morecambe | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 33 | 53 | -20 | 32 |
22 | MK Dons | 35 | 8 | 6 | 21 | 31 | 54 | -23 | 30 |
23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 29 |
24 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 35 | 5 | 8 | 22 | 27 | 66 | -39 | 23 |
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